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Телеграмна служба новин - Україна

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Мир сегодня с "Юрий Подоляка"

Труха⚡️Україна

Николаевский Ванёк

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Реальний Київ | Украина

Реальна Війна

Україна Online: Новини | Політика

Телеграмна служба новин - Україна

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Based Anti-Semitic Investments Ltd.
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TuriOmmaviy
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TekshirilmaganIshonchnoma
ShubhaliJoylashuv
TilBoshqa
Kanal yaratilgan sanaFeb 27, 2025
TGlist-ga qo'shildi
Mar 17, 2025Repost qilingan:
Megatron



10.04.202519:16
BREAKING: 🇪🇺🇨🇳 EU and China have started negotiations to abolish EU tariffs on Chinese electrical vehicles - Handelsblatt reports
@Megatron_ron
@Megatron_ron
Repost qilingan:
Bellerophon's Autism Plantation



09.04.202520:46
"The market dipped, then the market rose. It was a lesson to decrease your attachment to this material realm.
You must trust the plan to attain trve enlightenment."
You must trust the plan to attain trve enlightenment."
09.04.202505:25
To understand volatility decay:
%’s are smaller going down than going up:
$1000 to $50 is a 95% loss
$50 to $1000 is a 2000% gain
If I have an ETF do a 40% gain on day 1 and a 40% loss on day 2 then a 2x leveraged ETF (which resets the leverage every day) will have an 80% gain on day 1 and an 80% loss on day 2. There is more $ per loss in a % going down over the same interval
ETF
Day 0: $100
Day 1: $100*1.40=$140.00
Day 2: $140*.60=$84.00
2x ETF
Day 0: $100
Day 1: $100*1.80=$180.00
Day 2: $100*.20=$20.00
%’s are smaller going down than going up:
$1000 to $50 is a 95% loss
$50 to $1000 is a 2000% gain
If I have an ETF do a 40% gain on day 1 and a 40% loss on day 2 then a 2x leveraged ETF (which resets the leverage every day) will have an 80% gain on day 1 and an 80% loss on day 2. There is more $ per loss in a % going down over the same interval
ETF
Day 0: $100
Day 1: $100*1.40=$140.00
Day 2: $140*.60=$84.00
2x ETF
Day 0: $100
Day 1: $100*1.80=$180.00
Day 2: $100*.20=$20.00


31.03.202518:09
The case for gold:
Gold should never be more than 20% of your portfolio. Just like bonds I would hold more in retirement than during working years. I currently have 10% of my portfolio in physical gold ETF’s such as IAUM and GLD
The purpose of gold much like bonds to act as insurance on equities in case the stock market crashes. During recessions and periods of high inflation people flee to gold to preserve value in a physical commodity. While the S&P 500 has a superior return to gold from the end of the gold standard to today (1971-2025), a portfolio of 90% S&P 500 10% Gold rebalancing once a year has a superior total return to a portfolio of 100% S&P 500.
There are two main arguments against gold I’d like to address:
1. “Gold has extended periods of decline/stagnation followed by short periods of rapid growth.” Gold had a monumental price increase in the late 1970’s stagflation peaking in 1980. Gold then declined in value for 20 years before finally turning around in 2000.
The reason why this decline in gold happened was an extended bull market with no major recessions or economic crisis. Gold declined in value, because equities did magnificent. In the 2000’s, the lost decade of stocks, Gold was amazing.
If your gold has a shit return over a 10 year period, you should rejoice, because that means your equities did amazing. Gold serves its purpose as insurance against a stock market crash.
2. “Gold is pure speculation, it has no intrinsic value.” This is not true:
Golds uses:
49.2% Jewelry
19.26% Investment (bars/coins)
17.2% Central banks
12.14% industrial
2.2% unaccounted
66.4-68.6% of gold has an actual use. Jewelry is a luxury good. It’s not speculation. The vast majority of people who buy jewelry don’t do so as an investment. It’s usually much cheaper to go with an ETF or physical gold. People buy jewelry not to sell it at a higher price but to flex their own wealth and status. As long as there are men who want to impress pretty girls, there will be a demand for jewelry. As long as there are people who want to look wealthy and important, there will be a demand for jewelry.
2/3 of all economic growth is due to technology. As people get wealthier they spend more on luxury goods. Luxury goods as a % of world GDP has only increased with time, because the world has gotten wealthier.
As for the industrial uses of gold: There is an ever increasing demand for computer chips and thus an ever increasing demand for gold.
Gold is also used in medical devices an aging population means more gold. As nations get wealthier the % of their GDP that they spend on medical care increases meaning yet again we have an isn’t save where economic growth ensures gold growths at an even faster rate than the economy.
Gold should never be more than 20% of your portfolio. Just like bonds I would hold more in retirement than during working years. I currently have 10% of my portfolio in physical gold ETF’s such as IAUM and GLD
The purpose of gold much like bonds to act as insurance on equities in case the stock market crashes. During recessions and periods of high inflation people flee to gold to preserve value in a physical commodity. While the S&P 500 has a superior return to gold from the end of the gold standard to today (1971-2025), a portfolio of 90% S&P 500 10% Gold rebalancing once a year has a superior total return to a portfolio of 100% S&P 500.
There are two main arguments against gold I’d like to address:
1. “Gold has extended periods of decline/stagnation followed by short periods of rapid growth.” Gold had a monumental price increase in the late 1970’s stagflation peaking in 1980. Gold then declined in value for 20 years before finally turning around in 2000.
The reason why this decline in gold happened was an extended bull market with no major recessions or economic crisis. Gold declined in value, because equities did magnificent. In the 2000’s, the lost decade of stocks, Gold was amazing.
If your gold has a shit return over a 10 year period, you should rejoice, because that means your equities did amazing. Gold serves its purpose as insurance against a stock market crash.
2. “Gold is pure speculation, it has no intrinsic value.” This is not true:
Golds uses:
49.2% Jewelry
19.26% Investment (bars/coins)
17.2% Central banks
12.14% industrial
2.2% unaccounted
66.4-68.6% of gold has an actual use. Jewelry is a luxury good. It’s not speculation. The vast majority of people who buy jewelry don’t do so as an investment. It’s usually much cheaper to go with an ETF or physical gold. People buy jewelry not to sell it at a higher price but to flex their own wealth and status. As long as there are men who want to impress pretty girls, there will be a demand for jewelry. As long as there are people who want to look wealthy and important, there will be a demand for jewelry.
2/3 of all economic growth is due to technology. As people get wealthier they spend more on luxury goods. Luxury goods as a % of world GDP has only increased with time, because the world has gotten wealthier.
As for the industrial uses of gold: There is an ever increasing demand for computer chips and thus an ever increasing demand for gold.
Gold is also used in medical devices an aging population means more gold. As nations get wealthier the % of their GDP that they spend on medical care increases meaning yet again we have an isn’t save where economic growth ensures gold growths at an even faster rate than the economy.
07.04.202515:54
US Steel up over 11% today amid the chaos
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/07/trump-orders-new-review-of-us-steel-acquisition-by-nippon-steel.html
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/07/trump-orders-new-review-of-us-steel-acquisition-by-nippon-steel.html
31.03.202504:53
In retrospect US Steel was an especially good pick, because it benefited from the trade war.
Prior to inauguration we knew a trade war was possible and US steel would be ideal for that we knew it was also still possible the merger could go through.
Prior to inauguration we knew a trade war was possible and US steel would be ideal for that we knew it was also still possible the merger could go through.


08.04.202505:48
Moderna Bros with the W. We told you that the state apparatus wouldn’t allow Kennedy to go full retard. He exists to get the schizo vote.
06.04.202516:49
Very long term, Waste Management (WM) is a buy. It’s a very stable steady business practically with a monopoly that’s guaranteed to grow as long as the economy grows:
Economy grows = More stuff -> more stuff being thrown out = profit
Population growth means more people throwing out shit. It’s a stock tied to overall economic growth
.53 beta with similar growth to the S&P 500. I wish I bought before the crash.
Economy grows = More stuff -> more stuff being thrown out = profit
Population growth means more people throwing out shit. It’s a stock tied to overall economic growth
.53 beta with similar growth to the S&P 500. I wish I bought before the crash.


09.04.202518:16
Watch it go -10% next hour when orange man does something retarded
22.03.202500:59
ARCC is a sell
Right now we’re in a downturn that appears to only be getting worse. ARCC has a much steeper downside than the S&P 500 index does. It does not perform well in recessions. However, ARCC does have massive returns when it recovers from recessions so it’s certainly a stock to start buying once you feel we’re deep into a crash.
ARCC is a business development corporation. They operate as a closed end fund which gives high risk high interest loans to small private companies. Since the global financial crisis of 2008, banks have avoided these loans like the plague, due to the risk they carry. ARCC has largely taken over where the banks have left off. Unstable companies with high levels of debt are more likely to go bankrupt than safe companies in a recession. ARCC carries massive recession risk. Since 2008 risky loans have been more profitable, because banks aren’t investing in them driving down demand and thus increasing interest rates on higher risk debt. ARCC often does rescue financing, Mezzanine financing, preferred shares, and convertible debt so they get higher returns and less risk than indexing junk bonds. They work closely with the companies they invest with which gives them a more accurate picture. It does well during good times bad very bad during recessions.
The way ARCC manages high returns is through its use of leverage. The risky debt it’s dealing with doesn’t come near the average 10% annual return of the S&P 500 index, but it’s more stable so they can leverage it by selling their own bonds at a much lower interest rate than the debt they buy and split the interest rate.
ARCC has a debt to equity of 103.24% and a debt to assets of roughly 52%. Over half of its assets are leveraged. This makes greatly amplifies their downturn risk. I imagine their high upswings coming out of recessions is the result of ARCC doing rescue financing with failing companies and funding leveraging this with the low interest loans that are available when the Fed cuts rates in a recession.
The Ex-Dividned Date was March 14. So you’ll still get the dividend if you sell now.
Right now we’re in a downturn that appears to only be getting worse. ARCC has a much steeper downside than the S&P 500 index does. It does not perform well in recessions. However, ARCC does have massive returns when it recovers from recessions so it’s certainly a stock to start buying once you feel we’re deep into a crash.
ARCC is a business development corporation. They operate as a closed end fund which gives high risk high interest loans to small private companies. Since the global financial crisis of 2008, banks have avoided these loans like the plague, due to the risk they carry. ARCC has largely taken over where the banks have left off. Unstable companies with high levels of debt are more likely to go bankrupt than safe companies in a recession. ARCC carries massive recession risk. Since 2008 risky loans have been more profitable, because banks aren’t investing in them driving down demand and thus increasing interest rates on higher risk debt. ARCC often does rescue financing, Mezzanine financing, preferred shares, and convertible debt so they get higher returns and less risk than indexing junk bonds. They work closely with the companies they invest with which gives them a more accurate picture. It does well during good times bad very bad during recessions.
The way ARCC manages high returns is through its use of leverage. The risky debt it’s dealing with doesn’t come near the average 10% annual return of the S&P 500 index, but it’s more stable so they can leverage it by selling their own bonds at a much lower interest rate than the debt they buy and split the interest rate.
ARCC has a debt to equity of 103.24% and a debt to assets of roughly 52%. Over half of its assets are leveraged. This makes greatly amplifies their downturn risk. I imagine their high upswings coming out of recessions is the result of ARCC doing rescue financing with failing companies and funding leveraging this with the low interest loans that are available when the Fed cuts rates in a recession.
The Ex-Dividned Date was March 14. So you’ll still get the dividend if you sell now.


22.03.202505:17
Berkshire Hathaway (BRKB) is a buy.
BRKB can be expected to grow at about the rate of the S&P 500 during bull markets years with much smaller downturns in a bear market. The large cash position of BRKB means the stock won’t drop as much in a recession. The large amount of industrials it privately owns add resilience as well. Berkshire has always thrived coming out of recessions by spending their pile of cash on extremely undervalued stocks. A recession is when markets are least efficient and no one has been better at picking value stocks than Buffet.
Warren Buffet himself has said that Berkshire has grown so large that it’s harder to get good returns on the company: with over $1 Trillion in market cap so few stocks are big enough that they have enough liquidity to be even 1% of Berkshire’s portfolio. If you exclude the cash position Buffet has an incredible return. He only picks stocks he’s certain of and hoards the rest in short term T-Bills
BRKB can be expected to grow at about the rate of the S&P 500 during bull markets years with much smaller downturns in a bear market. The large cash position of BRKB means the stock won’t drop as much in a recession. The large amount of industrials it privately owns add resilience as well. Berkshire has always thrived coming out of recessions by spending their pile of cash on extremely undervalued stocks. A recession is when markets are least efficient and no one has been better at picking value stocks than Buffet.
Warren Buffet himself has said that Berkshire has grown so large that it’s harder to get good returns on the company: with over $1 Trillion in market cap so few stocks are big enough that they have enough liquidity to be even 1% of Berkshire’s portfolio. If you exclude the cash position Buffet has an incredible return. He only picks stocks he’s certain of and hoards the rest in short term T-Bills


02.04.202510:36
The hedge fund with the most assets under-management in the world has dogshit returns.
https://caia.org/blog/2024/08/09/unsurprising-failure-largest-hedge-fund-world
https://caia.org/blog/2024/08/09/unsurprising-failure-largest-hedge-fund-world
09.04.202500:32
The internet has made active management harder. It used to be that if you understood an industry everyone outside of it had no idea and you had a huge advantage over them. Due to the internet the knowledge gap is smaller and more people can know more information and price it in faster. Racism and antisemitism allow us to make accurate predictions about the market that aren’t priced in because thinking this way is taboo
Ko'proq funksiyalarni ochish uchun tizimga kiring.