Мир сегодня с "Юрий Подоляка"
Мир сегодня с "Юрий Подоляка"
View
Николаевский Ванёк
Николаевский Ванёк
View
Лачен пише
Лачен пише
View
Мир сегодня с "Юрий Подоляка"
Мир сегодня с "Юрий Подоляка"
View
Николаевский Ванёк
Николаевский Ванёк
View
Лачен пише
Лачен пише
View
TheNebulator avatar

TheNebulator

Takes on news, politics and the universe. Don't call me a journalist.
TGlist rating
0
0
TypePublic
Verification
Not verified
Trust
Not trusted
Location
LanguageOther
Channel creation dateJan 14, 2021
Added to TGlist
May 28, 2024
I own this channel
History of changes

Records

03.03.202523:59
3.7KSubscribers
11.02.202523:59
100Citation index
06.09.202415:36
3.6KAverage views per post
31.05.202523:59
579Average views per ad post
21.02.202507:05
116.67%ER
06.09.202415:36
99.67%ERR

Popular posts TheNebulator

All posts
Post media background
Post media
06.05.202512:28
That the Baltic Fleet is now convoying merchantmen suggests that Russia is strongly signaling the NATO chihuahuas not to engage in any piracy.
Better late than never, but it continues to amaze me that a Russian (Pavlov) literally discovered conditioning, yet his countrymen are so bad at applying it.
30.04.202509:57
Armchair Warlord has a very interesting take on Russia's restraint, that I have not considered before: They are denying the Ukrainians their victimhood:

in fighting a clean war, even when many people in the Russian commentariat have howled for blood and not without reason, the Russians are doing something far deeper, and far smarter, than just giving their "fraternal nation" a few dozen extra chances to shape up out of Sovok-boomer sentimentality. They are, in fact, sawing away at one of the core pillars of the constructed identity of Maidan-era Ukraine.


By being surgical, rather than blunt, the Russians are "playing an extremely long game here and setting conditions to build the postwar world they want to see - one which involves a lasting peace with Ukraine and a reconstruction of deep cultural ties," says Warlord.

This certainly explains the way this is being fought. As a Serb who has barely survived the post-WW2 social experiment called "brotherhood and unity", I have deep misgivings about the possibility of brotherly coexistence with an ethnos literally defining itself as anti-you and determined to kill you. But if anyone can pull this off it's the Russians, and the alternative is downright grimdark.
02.05.202512:38
The US is throwing Ukraine under the bus. This is the inescapable conclusion of what Marco Rubio and JD Vance told Fox News yesterday, and what State Department spokeswoman Tammy Bruce told reporters at the Foggy Bottom briefing:

...we will not be the mediators. That is what I mentioned on Tuesday, and the nature of how this would change is we would not – we certainly are still committed to it and will help and do what we can. But we are not going to fly around the world at the drop of a hat to mediate meetings, that it is now between the two parties, and now – now is the time that they need to present and develop concrete ideas about how this conflict is going to end. It’s going to be up to them.

Make no mistake, the US is being unusually blunt with a message to Zelensky: you're done, over, kaputt, we're out.

He needs to surrender while he still can. He won't, but he should.
22.04.202515:30
Marco Rubio has just announced a truly massive purge at the State Department, getting rid of 132 "fiefs" run by woke Deep State types for their own profit and political gain as opposed to US interests. Or rather, the people involved thought THEY dictated US interests and policy, as opposed to the elected government.

My favorite cut in the process of draining the "bloated, bureaucratic swamp" has to be the Office of Global Criminal Justice, founded by Bill Clinton in 1997 to be a sinecure for the lawfare agents who set up the atrocity known as the ICTY (the Yugoslavia "war crimes" tribunal), a kangaroo court intended to demonize the Serbs and create a pretext for the Globalist American Empire to intervene anytime, anywhere, against anyone for "human rights."

Getting rid of them isn't exactly restitution for decades of evil perpetrated by these people, but at least going forward it will stop. Truly an Easter miracle.
22.04.202518:44
Russia's supposed offer to settle for US recognition of Crimea and freezing the current frontlines — as claimed by Financial Times — is most likely wishful thinking on part of anonymous sources.

I can't rule out the possibility of Moscow snatching defeat from the jaws of victory (many such cases!) but this goes so much against everything I've heard and seen since December 2021 that it just seems highly unlikely.
Reposted from:
Russians With Attitude avatar
Russians With Attitude
11.04.202519:42
While Witkoff meets with Putin in St. Petersburg, Estonia has seized a tanker en route to Russia. Yesterday, they banned the canonical Orthodox Church, and two days ago, they approved a law allowing the "Estonian Navy" to sink Russian ships.

Estonia's suicidal behavior cannot be explained by self-interest; it appears to be a timed provocation by proxy. Its leadership seems to genuinely believe that Putin's patience is limitless and that this will continue indefinitely. However, times are changing rapidly.

The only thing that could save Estonia and its six-ship navy from getting vaporized is for Russia and the US to reach some kind of agreement. To be honest, the odds do not seem to favor Estonia's survival.
04.05.202513:53
I’ve always known Hitler wanted an alliance with England. Never realized it had been kind of mutual: https://www.kitklarenberg.com/p/the-anglo-nazi-global-empire-that
15.04.202515:39
EU's threat to "Western Balkans" (i.e. shards of Yugoslavia) aspirants not to dare go to Moscow for the Victory Day parade might have seemed like a flex to the Balts and other chihuahuas at first, but it's merely cementing the perception (based on reality) that Russia is fighting against a modern-day iteration of the Third Reich.

What was that Admiral Nelson used to say about interrupting your enemy when he's making a mistake?
23.04.202518:08
I think Trump just threw Zelya under the bus.
Reposted from:
DD Geopolitics avatar
DD Geopolitics
Post media background
Post media
23.04.202509:38
🇺🇸💬🇷🇺🇺🇦 Vance claims they have issued a "very fair proposal" to Russia and Ukraine, and they need to either agree to it, or the US will walk away

🔴 @DDGeopolitics | Socials | Donate | Advertising
Post media background
Post media
08.04.202517:08
Zelya must think he's very clever, putting China into a Kafkian trap like this.

Except Beijing might just decide that if the West is going to crucify China for "backing Russia" it may as well do so overtly... and off to the races we go.
Post media background
Post media
16.04.202517:33
Ukrainian intelligence (SBU) appears to have been directly involved in recruiting Nikita Casap (a Wisconsin, USA resident of presumably Ukrainian extraction) to kill Trump in a way Russia would be blamed for it.
The SBU has worked hand-in-glove with the CIA for at least a decade, and likely longer.
I understand why Washington's hasn't done anything about this yet (though it ought to be really high on Tulsi Gabbard's list!) but why Russia hasn't kinzhal'd their HQ is beyond me at this point.
09.04.202519:36
Trump's tariffs have triggered a lot of people, it seems. There's a legion of commentators, some of whom I greatly respect, who are practically fulminating about how the US is doomed, incapable of actually reindustrializing, and how this will ruin the GAE and the dollar and ensure a century of Chinese ascendance.

Um, isn't that what you want? What's the problem, then?

Unless you fear that Trump is both crazy like a fox and has the devil's own luck, so he might just pull this off, and the whole paradigm of inevitable GAE decline and fall is going to crumble on the brink of fulfillment?

My big problem with quantitative analysis is that it doesn't account for the moral/spiritual/psychological factors, because they're not really quantifiable. If someone is determined enough, or even too stupid to realize something "can't be done", they just go ahead and try to do it, and maybe even succeed through sheer grit. You simply have to make a distinction between "impossible" and "highly unlikely."

The GAE suffers from the opposite problem, mind you: everything there is mind over matter, an issue of messaging and marketing, wish hard enough and it will manifest. That kind of approach ignores objective reality altogether, so little wonder it fails so often (*cough* Bidenomics/Green New Deal/etc *cough*).

All this is to say that I don't know what's actually going to happen, because I don't have the numbers yet OR the sufficient feel for the collective sentiment. All I'm saying is that the former actually depend on the latter, a lot, and we ignore that at our peril.
11.04.202519:46
Trouble is, Putin's restraint so far has absolutely encouraged this behavior — and not just by Estonians, either. Appropriately calibrated violence is a form of communication. If not used in a timely manner, it will require far more violence to get the point across later. Which explains the SMO.
23.04.202510:50
Politico paints a fascinating picture of Europe that is entirely dependent on America (or the GAE?) in military matters. However self-serving, the story admits an uncomfortable truth: not only is the entire military infrastructure of the continent (well, its Western half) built around the assumption of American hegemony and US "cavalry" riding to the rescue, the Euros lack even the most basic military capabilities should the Americans actually withdraw.

No tank trailers, fuel tankers, heavy transport planes, even ramps for rail loading of flatbed cars for heavies. No intel, or cyber capabilities. Nothing. The Euros are basically hangers-on at best, dead weight at worst, fit only to man the "defense" line until the Americans arrive.

Set aside the fevered dream of a "Russian invasion" (the April 1 joke in which "Putin" tells the Germans they aren't worth the expense of occupation comes to mind). This is an admission that the supposedly wealthy mega-state with something like 400 million people is militarily useless.

I believe this is by design, that the US has for decades nurtured a learned helplessness and path dependency in order to maintain hegemony, but isn't even capable of articulating as to why anymore. Nor are the EUrocrats able to conceive of an actual independent military posture, let alone achieve it with their existing industrial base and economic posture. Given time and ingenuity, perhaps — but both of those are in short supply at the moment.

Keep this in mind if and when the US "walks away" from the GAE.
Log in to unlock more functionality.