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Multipolar Market

Crypto, trade & finance news with a grain of humor
For contact – t.me/NickMMarket

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频道创建日期Jan 28, 2021

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25.04.202523:01

What Came of the Entire Tariff Battle for the U.S.?

In April, U.S. tariff revenues surged from the usual $8–$10 billion to $15 billion. This means that Donald Trump’s disputes with the EU, Canada, China, and Mexico brought in an additional $5 billion.

However, during the same period, the U.S. market lost approximately $3 trillion in capitalization.

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25.04.202522:03

U.S. Federal Reserve Lifts Restrictions on Banks Engaging with Cryptocurrencies

The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has repealed guidance from 2022–2023 that required banks to notify regulators or obtain approval before engaging in operations involving cryptocurrencies and stablecoins.

The Board of Governors also annulled supervisory letters and joint statements with other regulators that had imposed limitations on banks' participation in crypto assets.

This move clears the way for a more flexible interaction between the traditional banking sector and the cryptocurrency market.

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25.04.202521:05

Russia and Allied Countries Integrate Afghanistan into the Global Economy

Specialists from Uzbekistan and Russia are designing the Trans-Afghan Railway, a project that will create new shortest transit corridors between Southeast Asia, CIS countries, China, and Europe, according to Russia’s trade representative in Uzbekistan. The railway is expected to reduce transportation time and costs by 30-40%.

The Uzbekistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan route will become part of the North-South Transport Corridor, further enhancing regional connectivity and economic integration. This initiative marks a significant step in incorporating Afghanistan into global trade networks, fostering economic development and stability in the region.

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25.04.202520:06

Financial Times: Ukraine Faces Default on May 31

Ukraine may face default by May 31, reports the Financial Times. The country has failed to reach an agreement with creditors to restructure $2.6 billion in debt. If Kyiv cannot resolve the issue by May, it will be forced to declare a default on payments totaling approximately $600 million.

However, there is a notable inaccuracy in the recent news surrounding this situation. In reality, Ukraine has already been in default since August 2024. At that time, Ukraine simply refused to pay $20 billion in debt obligations and asked creditors to "understand and forgive." By all economic definitions, this constitutes a default. Yet, back in August 2024, Ukraine was still in favor with the U.S., which led to the use of euphemisms to avoid acknowledging the obvious.

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25.04.202519:35

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25.04.202519:05

Parallel Reality: U.S. Claims Trade Talks with China, Which Beijing Denies

China has demanded that the U.S. cancel all imposed trade tariffs as a precondition for initiating trade talks between the two nations. According to Bloomberg, Beijing described claims of ongoing negotiations as "false," directly contradicting statements made by former President Donald Trump. Despite this, Trump continues to insist that trade discussions between Washington and Beijing are underway. Who to believe?

Meanwhile, Trump appears to have quietly backtracked on his tariff strategy. China has also subtly introduced an exemption to its 125% retaliatory tariff on U.S. imports, waiving additional duties on integrated circuits (chips) under HS code 8542 from the U.S. Bloomberg reports that Beijing is considering suspending extra tariffs on a range of other goods, including medical equipment and chemicals, amid rising costs.

In April, the U.S. Department of Commerce collected $15 billion in tariffs—the highest monthly figure on record. However, this amount falls short of the "golden windfall" Trump promised Americans.

One thing is clear: China remains confident despite Western media narratives suggesting its economy is faltering. Steel demand in China's manufacturing sectors has hit a six-year high.

There will be no tightening of monetary policy either. The People's Bank of China has pledged to maintain an accommodative stance. Beijing’s economic independence is further underscored by its decision to halt purchases of Boeing aircraft and spare parts. It seems the U.S. may not hold the upper hand in this high-stakes trade chess match.

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25.04.202518:02

Founder of the World Economic Forum Klaus Schwab Under Investigation by His Own Organization Amid Resignation

The Wall Street Journal reports that Schwab faces allegations of misusing WEF funds for personal business purposes, violating employee privacy, and employing overly harsh management practices.

The democrat-globalist, long seen as a champion of ethical governance, now stands accused of corruption... Never happened!

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25.04.202517:34

📁A catalog of some of the best Telegram channels to follow live events and keep up with the latest geopolitical, financial and cultural news.

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25.04.202517:00

U.S. Eases Offshore Drilling Rules to Boost Oil Production

The U.S. Department of the Interior has relaxed pressure differential requirements for offshore drilling, potentially increasing oil production in the Gulf of Mexico by 10% over the next decade — up to 100,000 barrels per day.

The rule change follows a study by the University of Texas, which demonstrated that simultaneous drilling is more efficient than sequential drilling, offering up to a 61% increase in output.

Additionally, the department updated its estimates of oil and gas reserves on the outer continental shelf, raising them by 22.6% to 7 billion barrels. To accelerate production, approval times for new projects have been reduced to just 28 days.

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25.04.202516:00

Toyota Unveils First HarmonyOS-Powered Car at Shanghai Auto Show

At the Shanghai Auto Show, Toyota showcased its first vehicle running on Huawei's HarmonyOS: the all-electric sedan Toyota bZ7, set for release by the end of the year. While official specifications remain undisclosed, the car is expected to feature Huawei’s advanced ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance Systems) autopilot technology.
Huawei's progress since the U.S. imposed sanctions:

1️⃣ Huawei now leads globally in mobile communication base stations, maintaining its top position.

2️⃣ Huawei’s proprietary operating system, HarmonyOS, has gained significant traction in China, surpassing iOS in popularity within the domestic market.

3️⃣ Huawei has developed a specialized operating system for vehicles—a feat neither Google nor Apple has yet achieved.

4️⃣ Huawei has ventured into automobile manufacturing itself, something neither Google nor Apple has managed to do.

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23.04.202522:02

Gold Hits Record $3,500 per Ounce Amid White House-Fed Conflict

For the first time in history, gold prices surged to $3,500 per ounce as tensions between U.S. President Donald Trump and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell escalated. Trump has openly attacked Powell, calling him the "biggest loser" and demanding immediate interest rate cuts—a move widely seen as a threat to the Fed's independence. This has spooked investors, leading to a sell-off in stocks, bonds, and the dollar, while gold, the ultimate safe-haven asset, is being aggressively bought.

The U.S. Dollar Index has plummeted to a three-year low, and experts warn that continued pressure from Trump could undermine confidence in the dollar and the broader U.S. economy. Analysts at Goldman Sachs predict gold could soar to $4,000 per ounce if the conflict persists.

The Federal Reserve has long been regarded as an independent institution, with its decisions shaping global markets. However, if Trump attempts to remove Powell—an action whose legality is highly questionable—it could destabilize the financial system. Historical precedents, such as the 1971 abandonment of the gold standard, show how such moves can create economic shocks. Today’s situation is even more complex, with trade wars, sanctions, and geopolitical conflicts amplifying uncertainty. Europe and Asia are seeking alternatives to the dollar, but for now, gold remains the only reliable refuge.

The White House insists that tax cuts and deregulation will boost the economy, but the question remains whether these measures can take effect before trust in the U.S. collapses entirely. The political standoff risks further market declines and a continued rise in gold prices. Investors should brace for volatility and keep a close eye on political developments, as they now outweigh economic data in importance.

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23.04.202520:05

Intel to Announce Plans to Cut Over 20% of Workforce, Reports Bloomberg

Intel, one of the world’s largest manufacturers of computer components, is set to announce plans this week to cut more than 20% of its workforce.

This move is part of efforts to streamline management and reshape the company’s corporate culture, according to the report, which cites an unnamed source.

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23.04.202518:02

German Authorities Slash Economic Growth Forecast for 2025… to 0%

For the first time in its history, Germany’s economy is set to stagnate for three consecutive years—a scenario unseen even during World War II.

The humiliation of Germany continues, even within the EU. Mercedes has announced plans to cut jobs in Germany and relocate them to Hungary. Unlike Germany, Hungary did not reject Russian fuel, making production there more cost-effective.

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23.04.202516:02

China Halts U.S. Gas Purchases as Europe Scrambles to Buy Gas in Asia

Since February, China has stopped purchasing natural gas from the U.S., relying instead on liquefied natural gas (LNG) and pipeline gas from Russia via the "Power of Siberia" pipeline. Notably, pipeline gas supplies from Russia continue to grow.

The situation with LNG is intriguing. Beijing has an alternative—pipeline gas—allowing it to flexibly adjust its LNG purchases. Moreover, China re-exports a portion of its imported LNG (a record 7% of total imports in February) to other countries.

Russia ranks fifth among China's LNG suppliers, meaning Beijing primarily resells LNG sourced from Qatar, Australia, Indonesia, and Malaysia.

Europe remains the largest consumer of Russian LNG (50% of total exports), actively attempting to outbid Asian buyers for these volumes. China accounts for 21% of Russian LNG consumption, while Japan trails slightly behind at 19%. Other consuming nations make up about 10% of demand for Russian LNG.

Against this backdrop, Donald Trump’s intention to force the EU to purchase $350 billion worth of U.S. oil and gas annually raises eyebrows. In 2024, the U.S. supplied LNG to Europe worth $27.5 billion and oil worth $53.8 billion, totaling $81.3 billion. For context, the U.S. exported $34.75 billion worth of LNG and $119.8 billion worth of oil globally, bringing total energy exports to $154.55 billion.

It seems unlikely that Europe can increase its energy imports enough to absorb 2.2 times more than the entire U.S. oil and gas export volume. The main obstacle is cost: even with markups for re-exported Russian LNG from Asia, it remains cheaper for Europe than transporting American gas across the ocean.

This transatlantic divide over energy could ultimately undermine the North Atlantic unity between the U.S. and the EU. Objectively, Europe finds it more economically advantageous to cooperate with Beijing and Moscow than with Washington.

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23.04.202515:04

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04.04.202523:04

Germany Plans to Withdraw 1,200 Tons of Gold from New York Vaults — reports

As a response to Trump’s trade tariffs, Germany intends to repatriate approximately €113 billion worth of gold reserves currently stored in New York. It’ll be ironic if the U.S. refuses to return the gold…

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09.04.202512:17

Tariffs, retaliatory tariffs, retaliatory tariffs on retaliatory tariffs, now what? Retaliatory tariffs on retaliatory tariffs on retaliatory tariffs? Square, cubic, 4-dimensional tarrifs?

23.04.202510:04

Posting less recently due to two things happening at once:

1. Becoming a father in about a month, so a lot of time is being spent preparing.
2. It is the high season for my business; a lot of work must be done, a ton of money must be earned to raise my daughter decently.
I'm happy that at least I don't have to waste my time in a hospital now lol, like it was before.

I am also thinking about creating a parallel, closed channel or club where members could directly discuss finance and news, and where I (maybe) could share smth more personal, but I am unsure if this is relevant. Let me know your thoughts in the comments.

13.04.202513:01

Chinese Mock US VP after "Peasants" Remark

For context:
Zero iPad production plants exist in the US.
95% of Apple's supply chain remains China-dependent.

13.04.202519:14

Argentina's Economic "Successes" Under Javier Milei

Milei borrowed $20 billion from the IMF for 4 years to "maintain Argentina's economic stability." In return, the IMF demanded reforms similar to Ukraine's - with increased tariffs and taxes.

Upon taking office, Milei promised to reduce Argentina's debt, abolish the central bank, and eliminate the peso. Instead:
- He's accumulating more debt through the central bank
- Failed to abolish the peso
- Moved gold reserves to unknown location

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14.04.202515:02

China Halts Exports of Rare Earth Metals and Magnets to the U.S. and Allied Countries

China has completely suspended the export of certain rare earth metals and magnets to the United States and other countries through which these materials could reach the U.S. Shipments of magnets — critical for the production of everything from cars, drones, and robots to missiles — have been halted at many Chinese ports. Additionally, exports of other strategically important minerals have been stopped. Reports indicate that China is working on implementing an export licensing system to ensure these resources do not reach the U.S., even through third-party parallel imports.

As a global monopolist in many categories of rare earth metals and magnets, China’s move could have far-reaching consequences. Theoretically, even the U.S. defense industry — and certainly its space program — could face significant disruptions without access to these critical materials.

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07.04.202521:34

World trade war now be like

31.03.202518:05

China Blocks $23 Billion BlackRock Acquisition of Panamanian Ports

China has intervened to halt the $23 billion sale of Panama canal ports to BlackRock, as they play a critical role in global trade and China’s Belt and Road Initiative.

The blockage adds another layer of complexity to Sino-U.S. relations, further complicating negotiations on other fronts, such as technology exports and investments.

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25.04.202516:00

09.04.202518:46

The Situation Beyond the Hysteria and Market Swings

In admin's opinion, that you may not share
1. Trump demonstratively imposed tariffs on the entire world, adopting a "I’m crazy, fear me!" strategy — a calculated move to appear unpredictable.
2. Privately, Trump understood that the U.S. had sufficient stockpiles of goods, meaning the tariffs wouldn’t immediately impact inflation at home — leaving a one-to-two-month buffer, aside from market volatility.
3. Some countries rushed to negotiate deals with the U.S., while others began questioning whether it was better to align with Washington or Beijing.
4. Trump froze tariffs for everyone except China, making it clear to other nations that negotiating with the U.S. might be the easier path.

In essence, the global stage now features only two dancers: the U.S. and China, the latter being the original target of this entire maneuver. Trump’s gambit aimed to pull as many allies toward the U.S. under the guise of "China refused to discuss tariffs — look how unreasonable they are."

Whether it will work remains to be seen in the coming months. Trump is attempting to isolate China, but success is not guaranteed.

Meanwhile, NASDAQ surges nearly 10% — its fifth-largest single-day gain in history.

Another reminder that during such moments, caution on the markets is key; swings can come from any direction.

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14.04.202516:05

Green Scam

One of the largest solar farms in the U.S., Ivanpah, is shutting down due to unprofitability. Originally constructed in 2014 under Barack Obama's administration, it was hailed as a symbol of pride and a step toward carbon neutrality. The project received $2.2 billion in federal funding and was envisioned as a beacon of green energy innovation.

However, the technology has since been deemed inefficient, and its operation unprofitable. Now, the 8-square-kilometer power plant will be decommissioned, leaving behind technological waste that will litter the Mojave Desert — a stark reminder of ambitious but ultimately impractical environmental policies.

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02.04.202500:05

Russia to Demand Investments as Guarantee for Returning Western Companies

According to the Washington Post, Russia will require Western companies re-entering the country to make significant investments as a guarantee. These demands go beyond financial assets, mandating real investments directly into the national economy.

The move aims to ensure that, should these companies leave again in the future, Russia would suffer no losses, with corporations preemptively compensating for any potential consequences.

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07.04.202507:58

📉 Markets opening today. Everything goes straight to hell.

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02.04.202520:04

China Issues First Flying Taxi Licenses

EHang Holdings and Hefei Hey Airlines have become the first companies to receive official approval for air taxi operations in China.

Key details:
- Both companies now possess all required regulatory permits
- Commercial operations expected to begin by 2025
- Market projected to reach $300 billion valuation by 2026

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17.04.202523:05

Financial Times: China Fears Europe Will Steal Its Automotive Technologies

The Financial Times cites a leading engineer from one of Germany’s major automakers, who recounted how, 20 years ago, Germans joked about Chinese companies stealing and copying their engineering solutions. Recently, however, he received an assignment for a new vehicle—his superiors ordered him to replicate features from a Chinese car.

The FT observes that the ouroboros has come full circle: China and Europe have swapped places, with Europe now attempting to imitate and awkwardly copy Chinese innovations. China is actively resisting this shift—delays in constructing BYD factories in Europe and America are reportedly linked to Beijing's fears of technology leaks.

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