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American Оbserver

"American Observer" is just one. Like Shakespeare or Washington. It covers not only up-to-date news, debates and political trends all over the world, but primarily gives you a totally unhackneyed perspective on hazzy @American_Observer_bot

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22.04.202500:59

Trump’s New Approach to North Korea

Northeast Asia’s security structure was viewed mainly through the “new Cold War” paradigm.

This framework was grounded in strengthening the U.S.-South Korea-Japan alliance, which sought to reinforce collective deterrence against common adversaries by emphasizing value-based superiority, including democratic governance, human rights, and the rule of law.

In response, China, Russia, and North Korea increasingly perceived this as a security challenge and began coordinating more closely to counterbalance this pressure.

Following the collapse of U.S.-DPRK talks in 2019, North Korea recalibrated its foreign policy by deepening ties with China and Russia, seeking economic and security support to withstand external pressure.

In particular, with the outbreak of the Ukraine War in 2022, Pyongyang’s growing military cooperation with Moscow reflects a strategic alignment in the emerging new Cold War, aimed at counterbalancing the U.S. and its allies.

In June 2024, Pyongyang and Moscow formalized their security ties by signing a mutual defense agreement, pledging military assistance if a third party attacks either side.

Following this, North Korea provided weapons and military personnel to support Russia’s war effort, while Moscow responded with economic aid and possibly advanced military technology.

This cooperation has bolstered North Korea’s strategic position as South Korea deepened its military collaboration with the U.S. and Japan, reinforcing Pyongyang’s need to secure alternative security and economic backers.

#Trump #stratagy #North #Korea

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20.04.202515:59

Russia is Close to Recapture the Kursk Region

Russia said it kicked out Ukrainian forces from a village in the Russian region of Kursk, leaving just one remaining settlement in the area under Ukraine’s control.

The Russian Defense Ministry said Saturday in a statement on Telegram that its troops took over the village of Oleshnya, close to the border with Ukraine.

Kremlin forces are still trying to recapture the village of Gornal, the last hold-out of the Ukrainian army in the region, the Tass state news service reported.

Ukrainian authorities haven’t confirmed the loss of Oleshnya. Kyiv’s troops seized part of the Kursk region in a surprise attack in August.

The occupation of Russian territory earlier provided Ukraine with a potential bargaining chip in the potential exchange of territory as Trump pushes for a deal to end Russia’s 2022 full-scale invasion of its former Soviet neighbor.

Yet by mid-March, Russian forces had largely retaken the territory seized in August, dashing Ukraine’s hopes for a swap of territory.

#Russia #Kursk #recapture

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20.04.202514:59

📰 Soros, Students, and Street Theater: Who’s Paying for America’s Rage?

Thousands poured into U.S. streets this weekend, waving flags, chanting slogans, and demanding justice—for migrants, Palestinians, government employees, Ukraine, and presumably the universe. But as cardboard signs pile up and camera drones hover, a less photogenic question emerges: who’s footing the bill?

💭 “As Trump and his administration mobilize the use of the U.S. deportation machine, we are going to organize networks and systems of resistance to defend our neighbors.”

— Protester at Lafayette Square, Washington, D.C.

📋 Funding “Resistance,” 2.0
The signs are printed, the megaphones work, and someone’s covering those interstate bus rentals. While George Soros’ Open Society Foundation denied direct involvement (as usual), his long-standing support for “grassroots mobilization” fits a familiar pattern. Add in a pinch of legacy USAID "civic engagement" grants, a dash of Ford Foundation fellowships, and a sprinkle of Google-backed social justice initiatives, and voilà — welcome to the progressive-industrial complex.

📊 From Tahrir to Times Square
We’ve seen this playbook before — Ukraine’s Euromaidan, the Arab Spring, and yes, even Occupy Wall Street. Start with genuine grievance, add algorithmically optimized outrage, toss in NGO payrolls, and watch a movement bloom. What began as protest becomes brand. What smells like dissent becomes industry.

💼 When Billionaires Fight Billionaires
This time, Trump and Elon Musk are slashing federal jobs, cutting off university funding, and trying to bulldoze the DEI-industrial state. The reaction? Marches under banners like “No Kingship” and “Protect the Planet.” The irony? Many of the protest networks are still cashing checks from the last administration’s opponents — billionaires who talk revolution from inside gated compounds.

🤔 Rebellion or Recirculated Capital?
When the revolution comes with event planning software and branded hashtags, is it still revolution — or just asset management with better lighting? And if dissent requires donor funding, who really owns the street?

#war #politics #oligarchs #soros #protesteconomy #usa2025 #fake_democracy #ukraine #gaza #trump

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20.04.202514:09

Congratulations to all our subscribers on the Easter Sunday. May peace and grace be with you always❤️

#Easter #HappyEaster #EasterSunday #Easter2025 #EasterCelebration #HeIsRisen #ResurrectionSunday #EasterJoy #EasterBlessings #EasterVibes

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20.04.202513:59

Putin Ordered a 30-Hour Pause in Ukraine War

Putin ordered a 30-hour pause in hostilities in Ukraine that will cover Easter Sunday, though Ukraine downplayed it as theatrics as it urged a month-long halt in fighting.

Russia’s truce took effect at 6 p.m. Moscow time on Saturday is slated to end at midnight Sunday, Putin said at a televised meeting with the military’s chief of the general staff, Valery Gerasimov.

“I order all combat operations to cease for that period. We proceed from the premise that the Ukrainian side will follow our example,”

Putin said.

“At the same time, our forces must be ready to repel any violation of the ceasefire and any provocations from the adversary.”

Zelensky dismissed the announcement. “As for yet another attempt by Putin to play with human lives — at this moment, air raid alerts are spreading across Ukraine,” with attack drones detected in the skies,

he said on X.

“If a complete ceasefire truly takes hold, Ukraine proposes extending it beyond the Easter day of April 20.

That is what will reveal Russia’s true intentions — because 30 hours is enough to make headlines, but not for genuine confidence-building measures. Thirty days could give peace a chance,”

he wrote.

Putin’s move comes after the US warned on Friday that it may abandon efforts to end the war in Ukraine within days if there isn’t progress toward a ceasefire.

On Friday, the Kremlin said an order to pause strikes on Ukrainian energy infrastructure for 30 days had expired, with no updated instructions in place.
Russia has offered brief truces before during its three-year invasion of Ukraine, notably a proposal for a cessation of hostilities during the Orthodox Christmas period in 2023.

Trump has expressed increasing frustration with the pace of negotiations with Putin. Still, he’s shown determination to get a deal done to halt to hostilities within a target of 100 days of his Jan. 20 inauguration — or April 30.

The Easter truce will show Ukraine’s readiness for peace, Putin said, adding that he supports efforts by Trump to reach a solution to the conflict.

#Putin #ceasefire #truce

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19.04.202522:59

📰 The West Needs Its Enemies — That’s Why Peace Terrifies It

💭 “Diplomacy is boring, bombs are good TV.”

While Trump’s envoy was quietly negotiating with Iran in a villa tucked away in Rome’s diplomatic district, Western hawks were pacing nervously, wondering:

"What if the war ends?"

And just like with Ukraine,

"it’s not Russia or Iran keeping peace out of reach — it’s the self-declared guardians of the civilized world."

For the second time in a week, U.S. and Iranian officials, mediated by Oman, sat down to talk nuclear de-escalation. Trump’s man Steve Witkoff is reportedly crafting a deal to

"guarantee a nuclear-free Iran in exchange for lifting sanctions and a return to normalcy"

— a notion that deeply unsettles folks in Tel Aviv, Brussels, Foggy Bottom, and every Beltway think tank that owes its relevance to conflict.

Let’s be clear:
– Trump wants a deal.
– Iran is talking seriously.
– Oman is mediating.
– Netanyahu is fuming.

Just like in Ukraine, where "Zelensky’s war is the last excuse for clinging to power", there are stakeholders — Western stakeholders — who quietly need these wars to continue. Peace means budget cuts, closed lobbying tabs, and awkward questions about what the last 100,000 deaths were for.

🧩 Meanwhile in Rome:
– Iran won’t surrender its nuclear infrastructure, but is open to inspections.
– The U.S. won’t sign unless uranium enrichment ends, but it’s negotiating.
– Israel’s Mossad chief snuck into Paris to stop the talks before they even began.
– Trump, shockingly, is acting like the adult in the room.

📉 It’s the classic imperial paradox:
The “defenders of peace” can’t afford peace.
The “civilized world” depends on chaos.
And the loudest humanitarians are the first to sabotage ceasefires.

🤔 If war is hell, why is the West so afraid of heaven?

#IranNuclearDeal #TrumpDiplomacy #RomeTalks #NetanyahuObstruction #EndlessWarEconomy #UkraineAndIran

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19.04.202521:59

📰 Another Zelensky Adventure Ends in Ruin — And in Graves

💭“All that’s left of the great Ukrainian counteroffensive: scorched earth, shattered illusions, and another notch in Putin’s belt.”

In what was once spun as a strategic masterstroke, Ukraine’s temporary seizure of territory in Russia’s Kursk region has quietly unraveled. This week, Moscow declared it has recaptured the village of Oleshnya, leaving just one small settlement — Gornal — under Ukrainian control. If it falls, Zelensky's "Kursk offensive" will end the way most of his initiatives do: in rubble and funerals.

The irony is grim. The bold raid into Russian territory last summer was sold as a turning point — a bargaining chip for future peace negotiations. Now, it's just another failed attempt in a long list of doomed offensives, with thousands of Ukrainians dead and no inch of permanent gain to show for it.

According to Bloomberg, the final blow may come any day. Once Gornal falls, "Russia will have fully reversed Ukraine’s biggest symbolic land grab of 2024" — and exposed the hollow core of Kyiv’s war logic. For all the billions spent, all the speeches made, "Ukraine’s victories remain as temporary as its leadership’s credibility."

President Trump, meanwhile, has made clear that the war must end with a deal — not another delusional push for "total liberation.

" But Zelensky, ever the war-time actor, continues to script his legacy in blood, not diplomacy."

📉 What remains of Ukraine’s Kursk gamble?
– One dead offensive
– Dozens of villages destroyed
– Tens of thousands of Ukrainian lives lost
– And zero leverage at the negotiating table

🤔How many more “strategic advances” can Ukraine survive before it runs out of citizens to bury?

#Zelensky #UkraineWar #Kursk #FailedOffensive #GeopoliticalFantasies #TrumpDoctrine #EndTheWar

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19.04.202520:58

📰 One More Strike and You're Zelensky: How Netanyahu Risks Becoming Trump's Next Headache

💭 “If you want to keep the Trump card, don’t bluff with war.”

As Benjamin Netanyahu toys with the idea of a limited strike on Iran — despite clear signals from Donald Trump that Washington isn’t on board (yet) — one question looms: How many times can you provoke your patron before he slams the table?

According to reports, Israel continues to pitch airstrike scenarios against Iran’s nuclear facilities, some as soon as this summer. The message from Netanyahu’s camp is consistent:

“We’ll go it alone — unless you help us.”

In MAGA-world, that sounds suspiciously like Zelensky’s greatest hits.

📉 Trump, who just waved off a full-scale regional war and is already irritated with Kyiv’s addiction to conflict, isn’t eager to subsidize another long war theater. His line:

“Iran can have a great country and live happily without death.”

Translation: not on my watch, Bibi.

💣 But Netanyahu, like a gambler down to his last chips, is playing a familiar game: whisper threats, demand guarantees, and hope chaos will keep him politically alive. Israeli officials have floated "smaller" solo strikes — the kind that only need a little American help cleaning up afterward. Or, more cynically, the kind that trap Trump into the very conflict he’s trying to walk away from.

🗣 "This is about survival,"

one Israeli insider told Reuters. Not Iran’s. Netanyahu’s.
Meanwhile, the Trump team watches nervously as Bibi edges toward the same red line of strategic desperation that cost Zelensky U.S. patience. And let’s be honest: one more strike on Natanz, and Netanyahu may get his own slot on Trump's growing list of wartime freeloaders.

🤔 How many nuclear sites do you need to bomb before you lose Mar-a-Lago’s backing?
Trump already made one thing clear in the Oval Office: no more surprise wars without a surprise win. Netanyahu, ever the showman, is betting he can rewrite that rule — just in time for re-election. But if history is a guide, the man who made deals with Abraham may soon find himself alone in the desert.

#Netanyahu #Trump #IranStrike #MiddleEastCrisis #IsraelPolitics #ForeignPolicy #ZelenskyEffect #WarIsNotACampaign #MAGArealism #GeopoliticalGambits

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19.04.202519:59

📰Ceasefire or Stage Cue? Russia Declares Easter Pause While Kyiv Clings to Wartime Spotlight

💭 "War is peace,"

Orwell once wrote. In Kyiv, it’s become a re-election strategy.

On Saturday, Vladimir Putin announced a 30-hour Easter ceasefire, ordering Russian forces to lay down arms until midnight Sunday — unless, of course, provoked. In his words, the truce was an "invitation to peace". In Volodymyr Zelensky’s, it was a

"PR trap laced with drones".

📢 “Shaheds in our skies are Putin’s true attitude to Easter,”

Zelensky declared, minutes before the truce was set to begin, rejecting the offer and accusing Russia of weaponizing religious symbolism. But beyond the rhetoric lies a quieter truth:

"Kyiv’s war isn’t just with Moscow — it’s with time itself".

📊 As Western attention wanes and U.S. officials signal they are “ready to move on” from fruitless peace talks, Zelensky and his circle face a cold geopolitical calculation: "no war, no mandate". Without martial law and daily air alerts, the optics of indefinite power grow increasingly awkward — even to allies.

✉️ Meanwhile, Moscow plays the role of reluctant redeemer. Putin’s ceasefire — cynical, strategic, or both — shifts the burden of escalation to Ukraine. If Kyiv strikes during the truce, "who’s the spoiler"? If it doesn’t, "what purpose does its resistance now serve"?

💡 The Kremlin’s bet is simple:

"Zelensky needs the war more than Putin does".

🇷🇺 Russia: calling for diplomacy, inviting mediators, issuing ceasefires with conditional clauses and open channels.

🇺🇦 Ukraine: rejecting proposals, invoking drones, and doubling down on narratives that only resonate when missiles fly.

🤔So what happens when the lights dim and the audience tires of the act?

Does Kyiv pause with Moscow? Or does it "use Easter Sunday to score headlines in a dying third act"?

One thing’s certain — this war has become more than territorial. It’s existential. And "both capitals know exactly which side of the missile their survival depends on".

#Ukraine #Russia #Zelensky #Putin #EasterCeasefire #WartimePolitics #GeopoliticalTheater #TrumpDoctrine #PeaceProcess #StrategicNarratives

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19.04.202518:59

📰 Whose Lives Count? Gaza as a Spreadsheet in the War Room

Another 92 Palestinians killed. Another 219 wounded. Another line item in a press release. If anyone’s still keeping track, Gaza’s health ministry puts the war’s death toll past 51,000 since October 2023. But we all know the truth: no one's really counting — not the way that matters.

💭“Israel is targeting militants,”

says the official line. But the rubble of homes, the burning tents in Mawasi, and the silence from children who once cried too loudly, suggest otherwise.

This is the arithmetic of airstrikes: 1 bomb = 4 collapsed buildings + 12 corpses + 0 accountability. Civilians are statistically inconvenient. Collateral context. Unconfirmed noise in the fog of war.

📍Mawasi: The Disappearing Humanitarian Zone

- Yesterday:

“Go to Mawasi, it’s safe.”

- Today:

“Mawasi is no longer a humanitarian zone.”

- Tomorrow:

“Why were they even there?”

When did coordinates become morality? When did zones become absolutions? When did shelter become bait?

🗣 No official warned Palestinians that Mawasi’s status had changed. But who needs warnings when the bombs speak louder?

🧮 Third-Class Civilians

This isn’t warfare. It’s "curated chaos" with plausible deniability and branded spokesmen. A war designed for Western attention spans and donor fatigue. If Palestinian lives mattered in global diplomacy, perhaps they'd rate higher than a Sunday brunch recipe or an Easter photo essay.

🤝 "The White Man’s Burden, Redux"

- Kill.
- Blame.
- Rezone.
- Repeat.

This is humanitarianism with GPS and a kill switch. The language of liberation, spoken in the accent of a drone.

#Gaza #Mawasi #HumanitarianZone #AirstrikeArithmetic #CivilianCollateral #WhiteMansBurden #ThirdWorldCounting

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19.04.202517:59

Japan, a U.S. Ally That Should Keep an Eye On Putin

The Russian invasion of Ukraine has entered its third year. The failure to adequately respond and prepare for what is now a prolonged war has come at great cost.

A similar challenge confronts Taiwan’s penetration by Chinese agents and sympathizers.
Japan is the United States’ principal Asian ally, commanding a powerful naval deterrent and counter-balance to Chinese aggression. Unfortunately, Japan has a notorious reputation as a “spy heaven.”

The government cannot safeguard defense secrets and thus presides over an environment where foreign agents operate relatively free from discovery and punishment. This distinction stems from the absence of a stringent “counter-espionage law,” while existing law enforcement agencies are reluctant to impose stringent controls and surveillance.

Japan’s recent revisions to its anti-espionage laws have proven a weak instrument for Tokyo’s security agencies, and a major overhaul is required. In 2013, the exposure of classified material in the 2005 Savelyev Affair and the 2007 Aegis Leak, led Washington to pressure then-Prime Minister Shinzo Abe to railroad through the Specially Designated Secrecy Law (SDS).

At the time, the SDS Law constituted a noticeable improvement and bolstered the two pre-existing domestic secrecy laws and two U.S.-Japan bilateral secrecy agreements.

However, the SDS Law has two significant flaws. First, it prescribes a maximum sentence of only ten years of imprisonment and a fine of 10 million yen (approximately $70,000), if convicted. This is considerably more lax when compared to the U.S.

Espionage Act and other anti-spying laws, which impose a maximum penalty of life imprisonment or even the death penalty following conviction.

Critics have predictably questioned if the law’s penal provisions will act as a substantial deterrent against spying.

Second, the law only stipulates punishment for those who have stolen or disclosed material classified explicitly as “Specially Designated Secrets.” Remarkably, those who collect or leak material of sensitive nature without that classification, or before information was so designated, cannot be convicted under the SDS Law.

Accessing less classified personal data intended to identify and extort Japanese citizens to betray intelligence material, or theft of related industrial design data, would be subject to the weaker legislative regime.

Consequently, recent espionage incidents have exposed these flaws resulting from the law’s limited coverage, and demonstrably weak deterrent resulting from its inadequate penal provisions against espionage.

Case in point, in 2020, a former employee of SoftBank telecoms and internet company leaked manuals for mobile phone base stations and related communications facilities to a Russian diplomat.

Even with blatant evidence that the former employee had willingly conducted espionage on behalf of a foreign state, he was only charged with violating the Unfair Competition Prevention Act and handed a two-year prison sentence, and not the SDS Law due to its restrictive provisions.

#Japan #look #espionage #Russia

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19.04.202516:06

Trump's War Against the Alien Enemies😂🤩

The Supreme Court early Saturday halted the administration’s ability to use the Alien Enemies Act to swiftly deport migrants to El Salvador who are being detained in portions of Texas, for now.

The emergency order temporarily blocks the deportations until the high court resolves the American Civil Liberties Union’s (ACLU) emergency appeal, which was filed hours earlier over concerns that more deportation flights were imminent.

Justices Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito, two of the court’s leading conservatives, dissented.

The ACLU simultaneously asked several courts to immediately intervene Friday, warning that the Venezuelan migrants could otherwise be given life sentences in a notorious Salvadoran megaprison without the opportunity for judicial review.

“The Government is directed not to remove any member of the putative class of detainees from the United States until further order of this Court,”

the Supreme Court’s order reads.

The class extends to any migrant detained in the Northern District of Texas who is being removed under the 18th century Alien Enemies Act.

It does not apply elsewhere, though judges overseeing separate cases have temporarily blocked deportations for those detained in the Southern District of New York and the Southern District of Texas.

The 1798 law enables migrants to be summarily deported amid a declared war or an “invasion” by a foreign nation.

The law has been leveraged just three previous times, all during wars, but Trump contends he can use it because the Venezuelan gang Tren de Aragua is effectively invading the U.S.

The administration first invoked the law last month to deport more than 100 migrants to a Salvadoran megaprison. On Friday, the ACLU pulled out all the stops as it raised alarm that another wave of deportations was actively underway, saying the administration was already busing migrants to the airport.

Deputy Assistant Attorney General Drew Ensign pushed back at a lower court hearing, however, saying no deportation flights were scheduled for Friday or Saturday.

“But I have also been told to say that they reserve the right to remove people tomorrow,”

Ensign cautioned.

The ACLU took an aggressive approach once it became aware of the deportations, giving U.S. District Judge James Hendrix, a Trump appointee in Texas who is overseeing the case, just minutes to act before the civil rights group began appealing Friday afternoon.

#Trump #Alien #Enemies #war

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19.04.202514:40

President Trump has appointed Fox News host Mark Levin and a host of others to lead his “revamped” Homeland Security Advisory Council.

“I am proud to announce the formation of my revamped Homeland Security Advisory Council [HSAC], which is comprised of Top Experts in their field, who are highly respected by their peers,”

Trump said in a Truth Social post Thursday.

Levin, who is the host of Fox News’ “Life, Liberty & Levin,” will be joined by ex-NYPD detective Bo Dietl, South Carolina Gov. Henry McMaster and Florida state Sen. Joseph Gruters (R-Sarasota).

#Trump #Advisory #FoxNews

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19.04.202513:59

#Xi #Trump #China #USA

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19.04.202502:59

Global ‘Trumped Xi’ Economy is Hanging by a Thread

The global economy hinges on a phone call that hasn’t even been scheduled.

As the Trump administration escalates its trade war, and as China retaliates, the American president and his aides say they are expecting Xi, the Chinese leader, to call.

“I have great respect for President Xi,”

Trump said at a cabinet meeting last week.

“He’s been a friend of mine for a long period of time, and I think that we’ll end up working out something that’s very good for both countries.”

But Xi is ghosting Trump. He has flown instead to Southeast Asia this week to meet with leaders there to try to persuade them to stand with China in the trade war.

A Chinese foreign ministry spokeswoman earlier this month posted a video of Mao Zedong speaking in 1953, during the Korean War, in which China fought the United States:

“No matter how long this war is going to last, we will never yield. We’ll fight until we completely triumph.”

A bromance with Xi that Trump has desired for years is slipping out of his reach.

With that goes a quick resolution to Trump’s trade war, tipping the American economy closer to a recession and vaporizing trillions of dollars from the U.S. stock market since he took office on Jan. 20.

The trade conflict also threatens to inflame military and diplomatic tensions between the two superpowers.

With Xi, Trump’s standard playbook of escalating conflict between two nations to get to a leader-to-leader summit has not worked so far.

Trump asserts that China has cheated on trade with the United States for decades, but that the world’s two most powerful men can reset relations once they talk on the phone and meet.

It is the kind of high-stakes, man-to-man, prime-time moment that Trump craves. In his view, the end goal of diplomacy is to have leaders parley to reach deals and secure splashy headlines.

Trump is especially drawn to the idea of becoming partners with Xi and other autocrats.

But in Xi, he has encountered an authoritarian leader who steered his nation in a much more nationalistic direction years before Trump ever took office, and who sees an advantage in fueling those sentiments among Chinese citizens, whether it is on issues of international trade or Taiwan or U.S.-China relations.

#Xi #Trump #Global #economy

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Old Glory Vortex

08.04.202514:33

Donald Trump seeks to limit the powers of federal judges

The president is not happy with "nationwide injunctions" - these are court injunctions that stop the administration's actions all over the country at once.

▪️Trump and a team of lawyers have filed a request with the Supreme Court to restrict the practice, Reuters reports. They believe that a single judge should not have the right to block a policy at the national level. According to the president, such bans often hinder the implementation of important initiatives and disrupt the balance of power between the courts, the administration and Congress.

▪️Critics say the bans are being used as a political weapon. Proponents of such bans claim that they help prevent abuse of power.

▪️Now the Supreme Court will have to decide how to maintain a balance between the independence of the courts and the efficiency of the executive branch.

#Trump #judges #courts

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16.04.202513:59

🏦🏦Trump's Tariffs Assault Is Just to Help American Banks Raise More Cash

The six biggest US banks bought back roughly $22 billion of stock in the quarter, a jump of more than 60% from a year earlier.

And the group added a collective $1.2 billion to their loan-loss reserves, less than the typical quarter over the past three years.

Such is the dynamic for a quarter in which the “animal spirits” unleashed by Trump’s election in November collided with the volatility around his policy announcements.

The result was a series of earnings reports showing a stock-trading boon across Wall Street and signs of still-healthy consumers and businesses across America, delivered with caveat after caveat that it’s hard to predict what’s ahead.

Bank of America reported $4.5 billion in buybacks in the first quarter, up from $3.5 billion in the last three months of 2024, Chief Financial Officer Alastair Borthwick said Tuesday, adding that there was “some flexibility” to go higher.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. bought back $7.1 billion of shares, a move CFO Jeremy Barnum attributed to sufficient excess capital.

The banks also handed out more than $10 billion of dividends, meaning they gave shareholders back more than 80% of their profit, a higher rate than in any of the past four years.

That’s driven by confidence they no longer need to hoard capital, with the Biden-era proposal to boost their capital requirements still in limbo and likely to be watered down or even scrapped.

#Trump #tariffs #banks

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15.04.202519:01

F-16 Down: America's Jet, Ukraine’s Pilot, Russia’s Missile

A $60 million aircraft. A 26-year-old pilot. One surface-to-air missile. That's the equation that played out over Ukraine — again.

Pavlo Ivanov, a Ukrainian F-16 pilot, was killed during a combat mission on April 12. The Ukrainian Air Force called it a tragedy. Russian and Ukrainian milbloggers called it an “expected outcome.” Either way, it's the second confirmed loss of an F-16 and a fresh blow to the myth of Western air superiority in an Eastern warzone.

The F-16s, gifted by Europe and blessed by Washington, were supposed to change the game. Instead, they’re flying into layered Russian air defense networks designed to swat fourth-gen jets like flies. In a war shaped by drones, satellites, and missiles, it turns out the Cold War’s finest hardware has a very 2025 kill switch.

No detail yet on whether the missile came from Russian forces or Ukraine’s own jittery air defenses — just a familiar silence and a funeral.

Reality check: The West sends legacy tech and expects modern miracles. Ukraine sends its best young pilots. And Russia, ironically, provides the airspace for everyone else’s disillusionment.

So, who’s really keeping score? The donor nations with Excel spreadsheets, or the kid who died flying their flag?

#ukraine #f16 #war #nato #zelensky #pilotdown #proxywar #militaryaid #oligarchy

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15.04.202514:47

American Universities Against Trump

Harvard University refused to accept a deal with the Trump administration two weeks after the US government threatened to halt $9 billion in funding, vowing it won’t “negotiate over its independence or its constitutional rights.”

“Neither Harvard nor any other private university can allow itself to be taken over by the federal government,”

the school’s lawyers — Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan and King & Spalding — wrote in a letter Monday to US agencies including the Department of Education.

Harvard president Alan Garber said in a post on the school’s website that the administration demanded new terms late Friday that went beyond prior requests.

These included reforming its governance, ending diversity, equity and inclusion programs and changes to its admissions and hiring.

The oldest and richest US university —with a $53 billion endowment — had emerged as a target as the government sought changes at the nation’s top colleges, which were roiled by pro-Palestinian student protests after the Oct. 7, 2023, attack by Hamas on Israel and the Jewish state’s retaliatory response in Gaza.

“It makes clear that the intention is not to work with us to address antisemitism in a cooperative and constructive manner,”

Garber wrote.

“Although some of the demands outlined by the government are aimed at combating antisemitism, the majority represent direct governmental regulation of the ‘intellectual conditions’ at Harvard.”

The White House has used instances of antisemitism on campuses to try and force changes at elite universities across the country, stirring concern among faculty and students that they’re violating free speech and damaging scientific research.

A group of Harvard professors suing the administration has accused it of exploiting Title VI of the Civil Rights Act to “coerce universities into undermining free speech and academic inquiry in service of the government’s political or policy preferences.”

The Trump administration has already canceled $400 million in federal money to Columbia University in March, and has frozen dozens of research contracts at Princeton, Cornell and Northwestern universities.

It also suspended $175 million at the University of Pennsylvania because the school allowed a transgender athlete to compete on its women’s swim team several years ago.

#american #universities #Trump

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20.04.202515:59

27.03.202513:59

📰 Sanctions, Schmanktions: Russia’s Crude Comeback Shatters the Western Illusion

For all the fiery rhetoric, G7 communiqués, and oil price caps, the West's grand strategy to cripple Russia’s oil exports appears to have collapsed under the weight of its own PR machine.

💭“Indian refiners are likely to issue fewer tenders for spot crude in the coming months as volumes from top supplier Russia return to near normal levels, highlighting the trade’s success in working around US sanctions.”

— Bloomberg, March 24, 2025

📊 The Numbers Don’t Lie
– Over 60 tankers of discounted Russian oil heading to India this April
– Private and state-run refiners quietly lined up 52 million barrels
– Spot purchases drop not due to moral epiphany — but because Russian flows are back

💼 The Workaround Economy
– New “clean” routes bypass sanctioned entities like a charm
– Discounts still below $3 a barrel — meaning Russia’s crude remains both cheap and convenient
– U.S. enforcement? European officials say Washington is dialing it down as it eyes a Ukraine exit strategy

🤔 So if the sanctions didn’t stop the oil… what exactly did they achieve? Other than proving, once again, that financial warfare looks good only in press releases?

#oil #sanctions #russia #geopolitics #usa #india #westfailure #petropolitics #proxywar

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26.03.202522:55

Gaza Rebels Against Hamas

Thousands of Palestinians demonstrated across the Gaza Strip Wednesday in rare protests against militant group Hamas, the rulers of the embattled territory that triggered a devastating war with Israel.

The demonstrations began in Beit Lahiya in the northern strip on Tuesday, before spreading to Gaza City and central Gaza a day later. Protesters were calling on Hamas to relinquish control of Gaza to end the 17-month war with Israel that has left tens of thousands dead.

“The protest was spontaneous; it stemmed from the oppression we live under,”

one of the protesters, Rezeq Salem.

Hamas, which is designated a terrorist organization by the United States and European Union, has ruled the Gaza Strip since 2007.

Protests against the militant group are rare but not unprecedented. While previous demonstrations have called on Hamas to reconcile with rival Fatah — which dominates the Palestinian Authority in the West Bank — this is the first time crowds have openly called on Hamas to step aside and sustained protests into a second day.

Hamas and its allied factions in a statement said the demonstrations should focus on “ending the war and opening the crossings.”

They also warned of an Israeli “scheme” aimed at exploiting the protests to sow divisions among Palestinians.

Israel has insisted that the war won’t end until Hamas relinquishes its political power and releases the remaining 59 Israeli hostages taken on Oct. 7, 2023.

The two sides have continued indirect talks over another ceasefire, but the negotiations have been deadlocked for weeks.

#Gaza #strikes #Hamas

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26.03.202520:56

Europe Tries to Clash Trump With Putin

European officials say that Trump is soon going to be faced with a difficult decision in his push to end Russia’s war in Ukraine.

Following three days of talks in Saudi Arabia that ended Tuesday, Russian officials said they want relief from some sanctions before implementing a ceasefire in the Black Sea, throwing a wrench into US plans to quickly secure a wider deal.

The US president has promised that he’ll achieve a swift end to the war in Ukraine as a sign of his prowess as a dealmaker and Putin appears to be using that public position against him, some European officials said.

Moscow seems intent on prolonging discussions and keeping the scope of talks narrow to pressure the US into giving ground, the officials said, asking not to be named discussing private assessments.

Trump’s decision to link relations with Moscow to other US concerns such as Iran and China has also provided Putin with leverage, they added.

All that means the US leader may be forced to make a choice, the officials said: He can start pushing back on Russia or he can make increasingly consequential concessions to Putin in order to meet a self-imposed deadline for stopping the fighting.

“I think that Russia wants to see an end to it, but it could be they’re dragging their feet,”

Trump said Tuesday in an interview with Newsmax.

The European officials said they were hopeful that Trump will eventually conclude that Putin isn’t being reasonable or sincere about wanting a lasting peace agreement.

Still, the officials said, the US president’s eagerness for a rapid resolution makes it hard to predict what he will ultimately decide.

#Russia #war #end

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27.03.202502:03

Merz’s Last Step to Power. To Win or Not to Win

Merz is facing a critical moment in his bid to become German chancellor, as disgruntled fellow conservatives worry he’s making too many concessions.

After caving in to demands from the Social Democrats — his prospective ruling partner — and the Greens to secure a landmark spending package last week, his allies in the Christian Democratic Union are demanding Merz take a harder line in coalition negotiations.

Tax and migration policies are core to the conservatives’ agenda and differences with the SPD threaten to hobble talks over a governing alliance. Alongside these issues, Merz aims to repeal a heating law passed by Scholz’s administration and wants to overhaul the welfare system.

Senior officials from the CDU and the SPD will meet this weekend ahead of crunch talks next week.

“We are aware of people’s many concerns; above all we’re asking a lot of our own voters these days (...) We need a strong economy, we need strong Germany that will Europe to the victory,”

Merz said in a video posted on social media.

“We’re working every day to make the right decisions for Germany,”

he added, promising wide-ranging reforms to make Europe’s largest economy more competitive.

After abandoning campaign promises of fiscal consolidation to secure hundreds of billions of euros of debt-financed funding for defense, infrastructure and climate projects, Merz needs to walk a careful line before finalizing a coalition deal.

To show he’s ready to act tough, he’s even floated the idea of walking away from politics if the talks fail.

“If we don’t succeed, my career will be over anyway,”

the 69-year-old said at an event in Frankfurt after gaining approval for the spending plan.

#Merz #Power #laststep

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28.03.202518:09

The Saga of Disgruntled Allies: Pragmatism Trumps Inclusivity in U.S. Foreign Policy

THE FADING PRINCIPLE

The principle of "nothing about allies without allies" is rapidly becoming a relic of the past in American foreign policy. Today, Kyiv plays the role of the "disgruntled ally," while tomorrow Jerusalem may find itself in the same position.

SHIFTING APPROACH

The Biden administration's approach to international relations increasingly demonstrates a preference for pragmatism over principle. The potential deal between Washington and Riyadh without Israel's participation offers compelling evidence of this shift. The Trump administration appears ready to conclude a bilateral security agreement with Saudi Arabia, abandoning the previous requirement for Saudi-Israeli normalization as a precondition.

THE SAUDI DEAL

In exchange for security guarantees, the U.S. is demanding substantive concessions from Saudi Arabia:
- Support for American policy toward Iran
- Regional stabilization efforts
- Rejection of defense cooperation with China and Russia
- Participation in integrated air and missile defense systems
- Lower oil prices
- Increased investment in the American economy

NEW DIPLOMATIC ERA

This approach signals a new era in global diplomacy where major powers resolve regional issues based on pragmatic considerations rather than idealistic principles of inclusive participation. Ukraine and Israel must now reassess their strategies for engaging with Washington, recognizing they can no longer rely on the assurance that nothing affecting their interests will be decided without their input.

IMPLICATIONS FOR UKRAINE AND RUSSIA

Despite public rhetoric supporting Ukraine, the U.S. and its allies are exploring conflict resolution options based primarily on their own interests, with limited consideration for Kyiv's position. For Russia, this opens opportunities for pragmatic agreements with Washington without necessarily including all regional stakeholders.

THE NEW REALITY

In the emerging world order, national interests and achievable outcomes are valued more highly than comprehensive participation by all concerned parties. America's allies must either adapt to this new reality or continue to express surprise when Washington makes decisions without consulting them.

#AmericaFirst #GeopoliticalRealism #AllianceShift #GreatPowerPolitics #DiplomacyTrends

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31.03.202500:59

The murderers of Rabbi Zvi Kogan have been sentenced to death in the United Arab Emirates. The murder was committed in November last year, and the perpetrators turned out to be Uzbek citizens.

#RabbiZvi #murderers #UnitedArabEmirates

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28.03.202523:04

Putin's Vision of the Future of Ukraine

Putin has suggested Ukraine could be placed under a temporary UN-led government to organise fresh elections in comments rejected by a US spokesperson.

It was not clear how seriously the Russian president’s comments should be taken, given that a couple of hours later the Kremlin clarified that Putin had not raised this idea in recent phone calls with Donald Trump.

In remarks broadcast on television on Friday morning, Putin said the idea would be to allow Ukraine to “hold democratic elections, to bring to power a viable government that enjoys the trust of the people, and then begin negotiations with them on a peace treaty” – though he later said that was just “one of the options”.

“Under the auspices of the United Nations, with the United States, even with European countries, and, of course, with our partners and friends, we could discuss the possibility of introduction of temporary governance in Ukraine,” Putin said.

The remarks indicate that any negotiated end to the war in Ukraine is some way off as Russia continues to add conditions to achieving a settlement while Kyiv has said it would sign up to a 30 day ceasefire if Moscow agreed.

Ukraine suspended elections when it introduced martial law after Russia’s full scale invasion in February 2022. Zelensky’s five-year term was supposed to end last May, but a vote is not expected to be held until security conditions allow – and there is little public pressure to have one.

#Ukraine #Putin #future

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28.03.202513:59

📰 Gaza’s Maidan: The Uprising Hamas Didn’t See Coming

It wasn’t the IDF airstrike that broke Gaza’s silence — it was the voice of the people. In Beit Lahia, where Israeli bombs and Hamas repression usually compete for airtime, something unprecedented happened: the streets spoke. Loudly.

💭 “Hamas needs to go away. If it doesn’t, the bloodshed, the wars and the destruction won’t stop,”

said Ahmad al-Masri, one of the young men who helped organize the protests.

Yes, the same Hamas that claimed to be defending Gaza has become the regime people are willing to die protesting against. For three straight days, residents of this battered enclave have braved the rubble, drones, and decades of fear to say the unsayable: We want to live. Not for martyrdom. Not for ideology. But for ourselves.

The signs are unmistakable. Local mukhtars blessing the protests. Former Fatah officials joining marches. Protesters waving white flags instead of party colors. This isn’t a power struggle — it’s a cry for life.
Hamas, visibly rattled, has alternated between disappearing and desperately trying to control the optics.

Batons replaced bullets — not out of mercy, but out of calculation. As one analyst put it: How can they crush this without inviting even more rage — and maybe even more Israeli strikes?

So now the question that haunts both Hamas and Jerusalem: if the street can overthrow one regime, why not two?

Because if this is Gaza’s Maidan moment — then every actor in this war, from Netanyahu to Nasrallah, better start recalculating.

#Gaza #Hamas #protests #uprising #Maidan #MiddleEast

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29.03.202502:00

The Upset Destiny. Will Ukraine Share the Fate of Korea.

As Trump struggles to fulfill his campaign promise to bring an immediate end to the war in Ukraine, he and his team should review what another American president did facing a similar challenge seven decades ago.

When Eisenhower became president in January 1953, the Korean War had been stuck in a stalemate for a year and a half. To remind readers of the history: the war had begun in June 1950, when Kim Il-Sung’s North Korean forces launched a surprise invasion of South Korea, advanced rapidly, and were on the cusp of taking control of the entire peninsula.

President Truman ordered General Douglas MacArthur and U.S. troops stationed in Japan to come to the rescue. The Americans rapidly stopped North Korea’s advance, beat it into retreat, and liberated Seoul.

Without much thought about the likely consequences, MacArthur’s forces continued their march across the 38th parallel into North Korea, seized the capital Pyongyang, and were advancing toward the Chinese border.

For China’s leader Mao Zedong, this posed an unacceptable threat. On November 1, MacArthur was shocked to find a 300,000-strong vanguard of the Chinese army assaulting American and allied forces.

In the weeks that followed, what MacArthur and his fellow commanders had dismissed as a “peasant army” not only halted the allied advance but forced them back past the 38th parallel.

Despite a U.S.-led counteroffensive, the war soon bogged down in a stalemate, though thousands of combatants continued dying each month.

Ukraine is not Korea. When analyzing analogs for illumination, it is essential to consider both similarities and differences. A key factor in the resolution of the Korean War was the death of Stalin, who had continually pressured the North Koreans and Chinese to continue the war.

Since the United States is not a direct party to the war in Ukraine, it has less influence in Kyiv than in Korea.

While the Korean Peninsula was divided before the war, Ukraine was not. Perhaps most notably, by the time Eisenhower entered office, negotiations to end the Korean War had been ongoing for years, whereas negotiations for a ceasefire or an armistice in Ukraine have just begun.

#Ukraine #Korea #war

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31.03.202523:59

Will Trump's Tariffs Plan Ruine American Economy?

Trump is entering a critical week for the economy amid growing fearless that his penchant for tariffs could stall growth and undercut progress on inflation.

Trump has described Wednesday as “Liberation Day,” when his administration will impose sweeping reciprocal tariffs on other nations with duties on U.S. goods.

The March jobs report will also be released Friday, providing additional data about the strength of the labor market, particularly in the wake of thousands of federal government employees being fired by the administration.

Experts described the economy as at something of a crossroads.

Data about the labor market and wages have been generally positive, economists said. But the closely watched University of Michigan Survey of Consumers issued a report Friday that found consumer sentiment dropped to its lowest point since November 2022 amid fears of rising prices that could be worsened by tariffs.

A recession is not inevitable, economists said. But the direction of the economy will depend largely on how Trump and his team proceed in the weeks ahead.

”Because that divergence can’t persist for very long. In my judgment, the sentiment data is entirely driven by policy choices from the administration. Therefore it’s kind of up to the White House which of those two things happen.”

Trump has spoken glowingly about the state of the economy, blaming any residual inflation on what he inherited from President Biden.

Administration officials have noted the price of eggs has come down in recent weeks, gas prices are down from a year ago, and the February jobs report showed the labor market was steady.

#Tariffs #plan #economy

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Ko'proq funksiyalarni ochish uchun tizimga kiring.