👉 Ukrainian Post
The enemy appears to be preparing to intensify offensive actions in the Donetsk region.
In the Pokrovsk direction, we recently observed about 150 enemy motorcycle groups.
Before that, there were also quite a few of these groups in the Orikhiv direction.
However, it seems to me that the enemy will place its main focus on four directions going forward: Lyman, Siversk, Chasiv Yar, and Toretsk.
The mass motorcycle attacks are, so to speak, a “test run” to assess their effectiveness.
So far, their effectiveness is low, and considering the occupiers’ losses — it’s horrific. But who over there is really counting the losses?
In the Lyman direction, there are mass infantry attacks with an average loss rate of about one battalion of occupiers per day. Sometimes even more than a battalion.
Next, I’m sure we’ll see vehicles — attempts at mass breakthroughs using armored units.
The Siverskyi Donets–Donbas canal and essentially the entire Siversk direction will be in focus. It’s possible they’ll try to punch their way through with armor all the way to the Oskil River from Zherebets, since the infantry groups have started to slow down there.
Overall, the enemy’s strategic offensive toward the Sloviansk–Kramatorsk agglomeration was initially planned for summer to autumn.
But we are already witnessing preparations for this offensive in the spring–early summer.
Why is the occupier in such a hurry? Could it be that they want to achieve their minimum strategic goals (complete occupation of Donetsk region) already this year?
I don’t think so. The main objective is to exhaust our potential and prevent us from even planning our own actions. After that, they aim to seize the strategic initiative and continue to “squeeze” us. And not just in Donetsk.
We’ll continue monitoring the movements of the enemy’s “elite” units, which are now trying to enter the buffer zone in the Sumy region — the 7th, 76th, and 106th Air Assault Divisions, the 83rd Independent Air Assault Brigade, and the 155th Naval Infantry Brigade of the Pacific Fleet.
If this group shows up somewhere between Bilohorivka and Chasiv Yar, then it will be safe to say the enemy’s strategic offensive has entered its main phase.
