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Мир сегодня с "Юрий Подоляка"
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Multipolar Market avatar

Multipolar Market

Crypto, trade & finance news with a grain of humor
For contact – t.me/NickMMarket
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Канал түзүлгөн датаJan 28, 2021
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May 23, 2024
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"Multipolar Market" тобундагы акыркы жазуулар

Gold Hits Record $3,500 per Ounce Amid White House-Fed Conflict

For the first time in history, gold prices surged to $3,500 per ounce as tensions between U.S. President Donald Trump and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell escalated. Trump has openly attacked Powell, calling him the "biggest loser" and demanding immediate interest rate cuts—a move widely seen as a threat to the Fed's independence. This has spooked investors, leading to a sell-off in stocks, bonds, and the dollar, while gold, the ultimate safe-haven asset, is being aggressively bought.

The U.S. Dollar Index has plummeted to a three-year low, and experts warn that continued pressure from Trump could undermine confidence in the dollar and the broader U.S. economy. Analysts at Goldman Sachs predict gold could soar to $4,000 per ounce if the conflict persists.

The Federal Reserve has long been regarded as an independent institution, with its decisions shaping global markets. However, if Trump attempts to remove Powell—an action whose legality is highly questionable—it could destabilize the financial system. Historical precedents, such as the 1971 abandonment of the gold standard, show how such moves can create economic shocks. Today’s situation is even more complex, with trade wars, sanctions, and geopolitical conflicts amplifying uncertainty. Europe and Asia are seeking alternatives to the dollar, but for now, gold remains the only reliable refuge.

The White House insists that tax cuts and deregulation will boost the economy, but the question remains whether these measures can take effect before trust in the U.S. collapses entirely. The political standoff risks further market declines and a continued rise in gold prices. Investors should brace for volatility and keep a close eye on political developments, as they now outweigh economic data in importance.

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Intel to Announce Plans to Cut Over 20% of Workforce, Reports Bloomberg

Intel, one of the world’s largest manufacturers of computer components, is set to announce plans this week to cut more than 20% of its workforce.

This move is part of efforts to streamline management and reshape the company’s corporate culture, according to the report, which cites an unnamed source.

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German Authorities Slash Economic Growth Forecast for 2025… to 0%

For the first time in its history, Germany’s economy is set to stagnate for three consecutive years—a scenario unseen even during World War II.

The humiliation of Germany continues, even within the EU. Mercedes has announced plans to cut jobs in Germany and relocate them to Hungary. Unlike Germany, Hungary did not reject Russian fuel, making production there more cost-effective.

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China Halts U.S. Gas Purchases as Europe Scrambles to Buy Gas in Asia

Since February, China has stopped purchasing natural gas from the U.S., relying instead on liquefied natural gas (LNG) and pipeline gas from Russia via the "Power of Siberia" pipeline. Notably, pipeline gas supplies from Russia continue to grow.

The situation with LNG is intriguing. Beijing has an alternative—pipeline gas—allowing it to flexibly adjust its LNG purchases. Moreover, China re-exports a portion of its imported LNG (a record 7% of total imports in February) to other countries.

Russia ranks fifth among China's LNG suppliers, meaning Beijing primarily resells LNG sourced from Qatar, Australia, Indonesia, and Malaysia.

Europe remains the largest consumer of Russian LNG (50% of total exports), actively attempting to outbid Asian buyers for these volumes. China accounts for 21% of Russian LNG consumption, while Japan trails slightly behind at 19%. Other consuming nations make up about 10% of demand for Russian LNG.

Against this backdrop, Donald Trump’s intention to force the EU to purchase $350 billion worth of U.S. oil and gas annually raises eyebrows. In 2024, the U.S. supplied LNG to Europe worth $27.5 billion and oil worth $53.8 billion, totaling $81.3 billion. For context, the U.S. exported $34.75 billion worth of LNG and $119.8 billion worth of oil globally, bringing total energy exports to $154.55 billion.

It seems unlikely that Europe can increase its energy imports enough to absorb 2.2 times more than the entire U.S. oil and gas export volume. The main obstacle is cost: even with markups for re-exported Russian LNG from Asia, it remains cheaper for Europe than transporting American gas across the ocean.

This transatlantic divide over energy could ultimately undermine the North Atlantic unity between the U.S. and the EU. Objectively, Europe finds it more economically advantageous to cooperate with Beijing and Moscow than with Washington.

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U.S. Department of Justice Declares Google a Monopoly

The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) has officially recognized Google as a monopoly and is seeking to dismantle the tech giant by selling off its key divisions. Court hearings have begun, during which the DOJ aims to eliminate Google’s dominance in internet search. Among the proposed remedies are the sale of the Chrome browser, the Android operating system, and potentially other parts of the company. Government lawyers also argued that Google must take steps to give competitors an advantage if the court seeks to restore competition in the declining online search market. The hearings are expected to last three weeks.

The reason cited for this push is the deteriorating quality of Google's search engine. Google itself admitted that it intentionally worsens search results to increase ad exposure for users.

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China Warns of Sanctions Against Countries Cutting Deals with the U.S. in Trade War

China’s Ministry of Commerce has issued a statement warning other nations against striking agreements with the U.S. that could harm China’s interests. “China firmly opposes any party reaching an agreement [with the U.S.] that compromises China’s interests,” the ministry stated, adding that Beijing would “resolutely take countermeasures” against any country acting in such a manner.

The scheme where "India cuts a deal with the U.S. and becomes a middleman for Chinese goods" won’t work—China has taken note of the anecdote where the EU imposed sanctions on Russia but continued purchasing Russian oil through India. Beijing is striving to ensure its own goods don’t fall victim to similar arrangements.

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Posting less recently due to two things happening at once:

1. Becoming a father in about a month, so a lot of time is being spent preparing.
2. It is the high season for my business; a lot of work must be done, a ton of money must be earned to raise my daughter decently.
I'm happy that at least I don't have to waste my time in a hospital now lol, like it was before.

I am also thinking about creating a parallel, closed channel or club where members could directly discuss finance and news, and where I (maybe) could share smth more personal, but I am unsure if this is relevant. Let me know your thoughts in the comments.
Failure of Yet Another Reform in the U.S.

DOGE, under Elon Musk's management, has already voluntarily slashed its forecast for federal savings by 97% — from $2 trillion to $150 billion (of which about half remains questionable as to whether it can actually be achieved).

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China Halts U.S. LNG Imports Amid Trade War

Since early February, China has stopped receiving liquefied natural gas (LNG) from the United States, with the last tanker arriving on February 6 in Fujian province, according to the *Financial Times*.

The trade war and Chinese tariffs on U.S. energy supplies have forced importers to resell American LNG to Europe instead.

Analysts surveyed by the publication warn that due to escalating tensions between the U.S. and China, Chinese companies are unlikely to sign new contracts with American firms, opting instead for supplies from the Middle East and the Asia-Pacific region.

Additionally, plans by Russia and China to boost pipeline gas deliveries will replace U.S. LNG without significant losses for Chinese consumers.

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Dubai Chocolate Craze Triggers Global Pistachio Shortage

The dessert made from chocolate, pistachio paste, and kataifi pastry gained popularity in 2024, causing a rapid surge in demand. This trend led to a one-third increase in pistachio prices on the global market over the past year—from $7.65 to $10.30 per pound.

To address the pistachio shortage and curb rising prices, some stores have even imposed limits on the sale of Dubai chocolate per customer.

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10G Is Already Here

Huawei, in collaboration with China Unicom, has launched the first 10G broadband network, reports Mydrivers. The network is available in the Xiong'an area near Beijing.

The actual download speed on the 10G network reaches 9,834 Mbps, with upload speeds of 1,008 Mbps. Latency has been reduced to just three milliseconds.

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An Offer You Can't Refuse

Ukraine has reportedly proposed to future German Chancellor Friedrich Merz that Germany legislatively commit to allocating 0.5% of its GDP to Ukraine—amounting to $86 billion by 2029. Additionally, Ukraine is demanding 30% of all weaponry currently in Germany's possession.

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Multipolar Market популярдуу жазуулары

US Declassifies Documents on JFK Assassination Case — Most Reveal CIA Crimes

- The CIA poisoned Cuban sugar exported to the USSR.
- The CIA poisoned cows in East Germany to undermine agriculture.
- The CIA funded protests in Hungary in 1956, during the suppression of which 3,000 people died.
- The CIA added soap to infant milk in East Germany.
- The CIA actively collaborated with former Nazis in intelligence missions in East Germany.

Literally everything the "evil communists" ever claimed turned out to be true. All "democratic protests" have been CIA-funded since time immemorial. The agency also violated every conceivable and inconceivable convention — even poisoning children.

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04.04.202523:04
Germany Plans to Withdraw 1,200 Tons of Gold from New York Vaults — reports

As a response to Trump’s trade tariffs, Germany intends to repatriate approximately €113 billion worth of gold reserves currently stored in New York. It’ll be ironic if the U.S. refuses to return the gold…

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09.04.202512:17
Tariffs, retaliatory tariffs, retaliatory tariffs on retaliatory tariffs, now what? Retaliatory tariffs on retaliatory tariffs on retaliatory tariffs? Square, cubic, 4-dimensional tarrifs?
23.04.202510:04
Posting less recently due to two things happening at once:

1. Becoming a father in about a month, so a lot of time is being spent preparing.
2. It is the high season for my business; a lot of work must be done, a ton of money must be earned to raise my daughter decently.
I'm happy that at least I don't have to waste my time in a hospital now lol, like it was before.

I am also thinking about creating a parallel, closed channel or club where members could directly discuss finance and news, and where I (maybe) could share smth more personal, but I am unsure if this is relevant. Let me know your thoughts in the comments.
Chinese Mock US VP after "Peasants" Remark

For context:
Zero iPad production plants exist in the US.
95% of Apple's supply chain remains China-dependent.
13.04.202519:14
Argentina's Economic "Successes" Under Javier Milei

Milei borrowed $20 billion from the IMF for 4 years to "maintain Argentina's economic stability." In return, the IMF demanded reforms similar to Ukraine's - with increased tariffs and taxes.

Upon taking office, Milei promised to reduce Argentina's debt, abolish the central bank, and eliminate the peso. Instead:
- He's accumulating more debt through the central bank
- Failed to abolish the peso
- Moved gold reserves to unknown location

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14.04.202515:02
China Halts Exports of Rare Earth Metals and Magnets to the U.S. and Allied Countries

China has completely suspended the export of certain rare earth metals and magnets to the United States and other countries through which these materials could reach the U.S. Shipments of magnets — critical for the production of everything from cars, drones, and robots to missiles — have been halted at many Chinese ports. Additionally, exports of other strategically important minerals have been stopped. Reports indicate that China is working on implementing an export licensing system to ensure these resources do not reach the U.S., even through third-party parallel imports.

As a global monopolist in many categories of rare earth metals and magnets, China’s move could have far-reaching consequences. Theoretically, even the U.S. defense industry — and certainly its space program — could face significant disruptions without access to these critical materials.

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World trade war now be like
31.03.202518:05
China Blocks $23 Billion BlackRock Acquisition of Panamanian Ports

China has intervened to halt the $23 billion sale of Panama canal ports to BlackRock, as they play a critical role in global trade and China’s Belt and Road Initiative.

The blockage adds another layer of complexity to Sino-U.S. relations, further complicating negotiations on other fronts, such as technology exports and investments.

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09.04.202518:46
The Situation Beyond the Hysteria and Market Swings

In admin's opinion, that you may not share
1. Trump demonstratively imposed tariffs on the entire world, adopting a "I’m crazy, fear me!" strategy — a calculated move to appear unpredictable.
2. Privately, Trump understood that the U.S. had sufficient stockpiles of goods, meaning the tariffs wouldn’t immediately impact inflation at home — leaving a one-to-two-month buffer, aside from market volatility.
3. Some countries rushed to negotiate deals with the U.S., while others began questioning whether it was better to align with Washington or Beijing.
4. Trump froze tariffs for everyone except China, making it clear to other nations that negotiating with the U.S. might be the easier path.

In essence, the global stage now features only two dancers: the U.S. and China, the latter being the original target of this entire maneuver. Trump’s gambit aimed to pull as many allies toward the U.S. under the guise of "China refused to discuss tariffs — look how unreasonable they are."

Whether it will work remains to be seen in the coming months. Trump is attempting to isolate China, but success is not guaranteed.

Meanwhile, NASDAQ surges nearly 10% — its fifth-largest single-day gain in history.

Another reminder that during such moments, caution on the markets is key; swings can come from any direction.

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Green Scam

One of the largest solar farms in the U.S., Ivanpah, is shutting down due to unprofitability. Originally constructed in 2014 under Barack Obama's administration, it was hailed as a symbol of pride and a step toward carbon neutrality. The project received $2.2 billion in federal funding and was envisioned as a beacon of green energy innovation.

However, the technology has since been deemed inefficient, and its operation unprofitable. Now, the 8-square-kilometer power plant will be decommissioned, leaving behind technological waste that will litter the Mojave Desert — a stark reminder of ambitious but ultimately impractical environmental policies.

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02.04.202500:05
Russia to Demand Investments as Guarantee for Returning Western Companies

According to the Washington Post, Russia will require Western companies re-entering the country to make significant investments as a guarantee. These demands go beyond financial assets, mandating real investments directly into the national economy.

The move aims to ensure that, should these companies leave again in the future, Russia would suffer no losses, with corporations preemptively compensating for any potential consequences.

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📉 Markets opening today. Everything goes straight to hell.
China Seeks to Shape Global Expansion of Chinese Manufacturers Through "Industrial Diplomacy"

Beijing is encouraging Chinese companies to build plants in "friendly" countries while discouraging investments in others, in a form of "industrial diplomacy." Developed nations and the Global South are eagerly awaiting Chinese factories on their markets, which would create new jobs and transfer technologies. Given the appeal of Chinese manufacturing investments, Beijing can use them as a geopolitical tool to reward some countries and punish others.

The construction of new plants by BYD—the world’s largest electric vehicle producer—highlights the countries China deems both friendly and investment-attractive. These include Brazil, Thailand, Mexico, Turkey, Hungary, and Indonesia.

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China Issues First Flying Taxi Licenses

EHang Holdings and Hefei Hey Airlines have become the first companies to receive official approval for air taxi operations in China.

Key details:
- Both companies now possess all required regulatory permits
- Commercial operations expected to begin by 2025
- Market projected to reach $300 billion valuation by 2026

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Көбүрөөк функцияларды ачуу үчүн кириңиз.