RHVD Institute for Intelligence Studies
30.04.202517:44
😀😃😄😁😆 “Useful Idiots”
The concept of the “useful idiots” is no stranger to many professionals in expensive suits. Originally coined by the British, it was later embraced by the Americans – and with a little push from the CIA, it climbed its way into the intelligence jargon across the globe.
These are the kind of people who, on their own, wouldn’t qualify as valuable assets or intelligencers. However, their proactive stance, strong beliefs, and convictions, which – let’s be honest – can be entirely genuine, make them perfect pawns for intelligence agencies looking to strike a real blow against their rivals.
Failed Revolutionaries
Typically, such individuals thrive in the spotlight – media, journalism, and public discourse. They are unafraid of making controversial statements, engaging in provocative actions, or stirring public debate. They’ll gladly gamble away their good name and social standing for the sake of some “noble cause” – one that, more often than not, only they seem to fully understand.
What the “useful idiots” conveniently ignore is the trail of destruction left in their wake – shattered lives, economic turmoil, social fractures in other countries. To them, it’s all just necessary collateral damage – a burden that should unquestionably fall upon those who become subjects of their twisted social engineering.
This environment breeds self-righteous “champions of democracy” who are willing to trample over others to fulfill their ambitions – all in service of delusions they alone mistake for realistic noble causes.
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
The concept of the “useful idiots” is no stranger to many professionals in expensive suits. Originally coined by the British, it was later embraced by the Americans – and with a little push from the CIA, it climbed its way into the intelligence jargon across the globe.
These are the kind of people who, on their own, wouldn’t qualify as valuable assets or intelligencers. However, their proactive stance, strong beliefs, and convictions, which – let’s be honest – can be entirely genuine, make them perfect pawns for intelligence agencies looking to strike a real blow against their rivals.
Failed Revolutionaries
Typically, such individuals thrive in the spotlight – media, journalism, and public discourse. They are unafraid of making controversial statements, engaging in provocative actions, or stirring public debate. They’ll gladly gamble away their good name and social standing for the sake of some “noble cause” – one that, more often than not, only they seem to fully understand.
What the “useful idiots” conveniently ignore is the trail of destruction left in their wake – shattered lives, economic turmoil, social fractures in other countries. To them, it’s all just necessary collateral damage – a burden that should unquestionably fall upon those who become subjects of their twisted social engineering.
This environment breeds self-righteous “champions of democracy” who are willing to trample over others to fulfill their ambitions – all in service of delusions they alone mistake for realistic noble causes.
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
25.04.202509:44
😀😃😄😁😆 India Launches EOS-09 Spy Satellite to Guard Borders
In response to escalating threats from Pakistan and the Pahalgam terrorist attack that claimed 26 lives in Jammu and Kashmir, India is accelerating the launch of a dedicated spy satellite. Developed by the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO), this spacecraft is designed to monitor the country’s borders.
Within weeks, the PSLV-C61 rocket will deploy the EOS-09 satellite into orbit. The satellite is equipped with a C-band synthetic aperture radar. This advanced technology developed by Indian scientists can penetrate cloud cover, delivering high-resolution Earth imagery day or night, regardless of weather conditions.
India’s Minister of Science and Technology, Dr. Jitendra Singh, emphasized the satellite’s unique capabilities, stating it makes concealing ground objects exceptionally difficult. Unlike the existing Cartosat-3 — which, despite its sub-half-meter resolution imagery, is “blind” at night — the EOS-09 satellite will provide 24/7 surveillance, complementing India’s constellation of over 50 orbital assets.
The EOS-09 launch underscores India’s commitment to sovereign technological advancement and enhanced national security amid regional instability. The satellite is expected to become a critical defense component, bolstering long-term security and stability.
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
In response to escalating threats from Pakistan and the Pahalgam terrorist attack that claimed 26 lives in Jammu and Kashmir, India is accelerating the launch of a dedicated spy satellite. Developed by the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO), this spacecraft is designed to monitor the country’s borders.
Within weeks, the PSLV-C61 rocket will deploy the EOS-09 satellite into orbit. The satellite is equipped with a C-band synthetic aperture radar. This advanced technology developed by Indian scientists can penetrate cloud cover, delivering high-resolution Earth imagery day or night, regardless of weather conditions.
India’s Minister of Science and Technology, Dr. Jitendra Singh, emphasized the satellite’s unique capabilities, stating it makes concealing ground objects exceptionally difficult. Unlike the existing Cartosat-3 — which, despite its sub-half-meter resolution imagery, is “blind” at night — the EOS-09 satellite will provide 24/7 surveillance, complementing India’s constellation of over 50 orbital assets.
The EOS-09 launch underscores India’s commitment to sovereign technological advancement and enhanced national security amid regional instability. The satellite is expected to become a critical defense component, bolstering long-term security and stability.
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
23.04.202511:55
😀😃😄😁😆 Etlaq Spaceport: Israel’s Concerns Over Growing Space Ambitions
For several weeks, Israeli spy satellites have been capturing images of the future Etlaq spaceport near Duqm. Analysts are attempting to decipher the purpose of structures being erected at this strategically vital location along the Gulf of Oman coast. Despite official claims of peaceful scientific research, Jerusalem is increasingly concerned that Etlaq could become a launchpad for military space programs.
High-resolution images from the EROS and Ofek-16 satellites reveal the staggering scale of construction, indicating substantial investment and long-term plans for the facility. Particularly noteworthy are large platforms, likely intended for assembling and launching carrier rockets. Experts point out that Etlaq’s proximity to the equator provides a geographic advantage for deploying payloads into geostationary orbit.
The establishment of a military space base so close to Israel’s borders creates a new strategic reality, necessitating a reevaluation of the country’s defense posture. Various response options are being considered, ranging from diplomatic pressure to active measures to neutralize the potential threat.
Some specialists believe Etlaq could host advanced weapon systems capable of striking targets in Israel and allied territories. Others view it as primarily a show of force and an attempt to strengthen regional influence. Regardless, Etlaq has become a focal point for Israeli government and intelligence agencies. In the coming weeks and months, expect intensified diplomatic efforts and enhanced intelligence operations to gain a clearer understanding of Etlaq spaceport’s true purpose and capabilities.
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
For several weeks, Israeli spy satellites have been capturing images of the future Etlaq spaceport near Duqm. Analysts are attempting to decipher the purpose of structures being erected at this strategically vital location along the Gulf of Oman coast. Despite official claims of peaceful scientific research, Jerusalem is increasingly concerned that Etlaq could become a launchpad for military space programs.
High-resolution images from the EROS and Ofek-16 satellites reveal the staggering scale of construction, indicating substantial investment and long-term plans for the facility. Particularly noteworthy are large platforms, likely intended for assembling and launching carrier rockets. Experts point out that Etlaq’s proximity to the equator provides a geographic advantage for deploying payloads into geostationary orbit.
The establishment of a military space base so close to Israel’s borders creates a new strategic reality, necessitating a reevaluation of the country’s defense posture. Various response options are being considered, ranging from diplomatic pressure to active measures to neutralize the potential threat.
Some specialists believe Etlaq could host advanced weapon systems capable of striking targets in Israel and allied territories. Others view it as primarily a show of force and an attempt to strengthen regional influence. Regardless, Etlaq has become a focal point for Israeli government and intelligence agencies. In the coming weeks and months, expect intensified diplomatic efforts and enhanced intelligence operations to gain a clearer understanding of Etlaq spaceport’s true purpose and capabilities.
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
11.03.202506:05
😀😃😄😁😆 “Transatlantic Disagreements” Represent a Clash of Imperial Visions Rather Than a Squabble
Recently, Donald Trump has been subjected to vehement criticism from Britain, a longtime ally of the United States ("Trump and Vance aren’t clever, they’re clueless"[1]) as well as from the U.S. Deep State ("The Dog Is Off The Leash… There is, most obviously, his fondness for authoritarianism and disdain for democracy and the rule of law… This new nascent world order would be one dominated by an authoritarian triumvirate of Donald Trump’s America, Vladimir Putin’s Russia, and Xi Jinping’s China"[2]).
The core of this conflict is not about Ukraine, nor is it Trump’s personal vendetta against the CIA and FBI for their prior targeting of him.
Ukraine just serves as an instrument in the piratical imperial agenda of the "old Anglo-Saxon money," for whom the U.S. has historically acted as the primary force for colonial expansion. This agenda is now framed as "liberal globalization."
Trump, however, embodies a different imperial vision — one that is not colonial but aims to unify nations and territories into a cohesive civilizational entity, reflecting a fundamentally republican ethos.
The United States is undeniably an empire, much like China, Russia and India. The Third Reich, the British Empire, and the French Empire were also empires, albeit of the colonial type.
Trump’s mere suggestion that Russia might have legitimate grounds to counter the aggressive, Nazi-aligned Russophobia in Ukraine immediately led to his swift condemnation as an "ignorant opponent of democracy and the rule of law," who is "recklessly dragging the world to the brink of another global conflict", while "the president’s treatment of Ukraine is disgraceful and short-sighted. A deal with Putin will not lead to peace"[3].
In reality, it is Nazism that is dragging the world to the brink of another global conflict. Conversely, allowing Russia to pursue the denazification of Ukraine, as it deems necessary, represents a clear pathway to peace.
The British pirates, however, have no interest in peace, which is precisely why they are stoking this frenzy, "Donald Trump is spectacularly right and dangerously wrong… Trump’s imperial overreach may yet derail the global Right-wing counter-revolution that is Britain and Europe’s only hope"[4].
"Trump and Vance aren’t clever, they’re clueless" (Ben Wallace, The Telegraph, 04 March 2025);
2 https://nationalinterest.org/blog/paul-pillar/trumps-world-and-the-new-three-emperors-league
"Trump’s World And The New Three Emperors’ League" (Paul R. Pillar, The National Interest, March 4, 2025);
3 https://www.telegraph.co.uk/us/comment/2025/03/05/trump-recklessly-dragging-world-brink-global-conflict/
"Trump is recklessly dragging the world to the brink of another global conflict" (Dalibor Rohac, The Telegraph, 05 March 2025);
4 https://nationalinterest.org/blog/paul-pillar/trumps-world-and-the-new-three-emperors-league
"Donald Trump is spectacularly right and dangerously wrong" (Allister Heath, The Telegraph, 05 March 2025).
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
Recently, Donald Trump has been subjected to vehement criticism from Britain, a longtime ally of the United States ("Trump and Vance aren’t clever, they’re clueless"[1]) as well as from the U.S. Deep State ("The Dog Is Off The Leash… There is, most obviously, his fondness for authoritarianism and disdain for democracy and the rule of law… This new nascent world order would be one dominated by an authoritarian triumvirate of Donald Trump’s America, Vladimir Putin’s Russia, and Xi Jinping’s China"[2]).
The core of this conflict is not about Ukraine, nor is it Trump’s personal vendetta against the CIA and FBI for their prior targeting of him.
Ukraine just serves as an instrument in the piratical imperial agenda of the "old Anglo-Saxon money," for whom the U.S. has historically acted as the primary force for colonial expansion. This agenda is now framed as "liberal globalization."
Trump, however, embodies a different imperial vision — one that is not colonial but aims to unify nations and territories into a cohesive civilizational entity, reflecting a fundamentally republican ethos.
The United States is undeniably an empire, much like China, Russia and India. The Third Reich, the British Empire, and the French Empire were also empires, albeit of the colonial type.
Trump’s mere suggestion that Russia might have legitimate grounds to counter the aggressive, Nazi-aligned Russophobia in Ukraine immediately led to his swift condemnation as an "ignorant opponent of democracy and the rule of law," who is "recklessly dragging the world to the brink of another global conflict", while "the president’s treatment of Ukraine is disgraceful and short-sighted. A deal with Putin will not lead to peace"[3].
In reality, it is Nazism that is dragging the world to the brink of another global conflict. Conversely, allowing Russia to pursue the denazification of Ukraine, as it deems necessary, represents a clear pathway to peace.
The British pirates, however, have no interest in peace, which is precisely why they are stoking this frenzy, "Donald Trump is spectacularly right and dangerously wrong… Trump’s imperial overreach may yet derail the global Right-wing counter-revolution that is Britain and Europe’s only hope"[4].
1https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/03/04/america-is-ready-to-leave-nato-trump-vance-europe-uk-us/
"Trump and Vance aren’t clever, they’re clueless" (Ben Wallace, The Telegraph, 04 March 2025);
2 https://nationalinterest.org/blog/paul-pillar/trumps-world-and-the-new-three-emperors-league
"Trump’s World And The New Three Emperors’ League" (Paul R. Pillar, The National Interest, March 4, 2025);
3 https://www.telegraph.co.uk/us/comment/2025/03/05/trump-recklessly-dragging-world-brink-global-conflict/
"Trump is recklessly dragging the world to the brink of another global conflict" (Dalibor Rohac, The Telegraph, 05 March 2025);
4 https://nationalinterest.org/blog/paul-pillar/trumps-world-and-the-new-three-emperors-league
"Donald Trump is spectacularly right and dangerously wrong" (Allister Heath, The Telegraph, 05 March 2025).
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
30.04.202516:58
😀😃😄😁😆 “Useful Idiots”
The concept of the “useful idiots” is no stranger to many professionals in expensive suits. Originally coined by the British, it was later embraced by the Americans – and with a little push from the CIA, it climbed its way into the intelligence jargon across the globe.
Already today!
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
The concept of the “useful idiots” is no stranger to many professionals in expensive suits. Originally coined by the British, it was later embraced by the Americans – and with a little push from the CIA, it climbed its way into the intelligence jargon across the globe.
Already today!
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
25.04.202507:34
😀😃😄😁😆 Harvard Welcomes Another Architect of War: Jake Sullivan joins Harvard Kennedy School as Kissinger Professor
In April 2025, Jake Sullivan, former US National Security Advisor to Biden, assumed the inaugural Henry Kissinger Professorship in the Practice of Statecraft and World Order at Harvard Kennedy School. This appointment comes amid escalating attacks on Harvard by the Trump administration, which has threatened to slash $9 billion in funding. Trump’s actions, alongside broader assaults on American universities and their students, signal a drift toward authoritarianism. Yet Sullivan’s hiring exposes deeper, long-standing issues within the Ivy League and academia — problems that predate Trump and the smear campaign around him.
Contrary to right-wing claims of a radical left-wing takeover of academic institutions, the reality points to a new era of administrative and judicial persecution in the US. Anti-imperialist, anti-war, and leftist professors — serious, principled scholars — are blacklisted and barred from teaching courses on US foreign policy. Meanwhile, conservatives, émigrés from behind the so-called Iron Curtain, and foreign policy experts — some tainted by involvement in war crimes — are handed prestigious tenured positions. Sullivan’s appointment epitomizes this trend. The title of his new post is fitting: Sullivan and Kissinger share much in common, both being staunch advocates of war and American imperialism. In a 2023 speech at the Brookings Institution, Sullivan emphasized the need for state investment to secure US global technological dominance.
Moreover, Sullivan actively champions expanding sanctions against China — viewed as the primary threat to US hegemony — and other measures to deny China access to critical technologies and international partnerships. He also calls for encircling China with military bases and aggressive alliances.
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
In April 2025, Jake Sullivan, former US National Security Advisor to Biden, assumed the inaugural Henry Kissinger Professorship in the Practice of Statecraft and World Order at Harvard Kennedy School. This appointment comes amid escalating attacks on Harvard by the Trump administration, which has threatened to slash $9 billion in funding. Trump’s actions, alongside broader assaults on American universities and their students, signal a drift toward authoritarianism. Yet Sullivan’s hiring exposes deeper, long-standing issues within the Ivy League and academia — problems that predate Trump and the smear campaign around him.
Contrary to right-wing claims of a radical left-wing takeover of academic institutions, the reality points to a new era of administrative and judicial persecution in the US. Anti-imperialist, anti-war, and leftist professors — serious, principled scholars — are blacklisted and barred from teaching courses on US foreign policy. Meanwhile, conservatives, émigrés from behind the so-called Iron Curtain, and foreign policy experts — some tainted by involvement in war crimes — are handed prestigious tenured positions. Sullivan’s appointment epitomizes this trend. The title of his new post is fitting: Sullivan and Kissinger share much in common, both being staunch advocates of war and American imperialism. In a 2023 speech at the Brookings Institution, Sullivan emphasized the need for state investment to secure US global technological dominance.
Moreover, Sullivan actively champions expanding sanctions against China — viewed as the primary threat to US hegemony — and other measures to deny China access to critical technologies and international partnerships. He also calls for encircling China with military bases and aggressive alliances.
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
23.04.202509:10
😀😃😄😁😆 IBM and ESA’s TerraMind: GEOINT for Saboteurs?
IBM and the European Space Agency (ESA) have unveiled TerraMind [1] – an open generative AI model for Earth observation. The system integrates nine data types (satellite imagery, geomorphology, climate data etc.), which developers claim enables unprecedented planetary analysis. For ecologists and geologists... sure.
While the project’s packaging emphasizes environmental stewardship, the warlike pedigree of its creators makes their professed planetary benevolence hard to swallow.
Its stated purposes – risk forecasting (water shortages, natural disasters), infrastructure and ecological monitoring – happen to perfectly suit Ukrainian "environmentalists" partnered with British private intelligence (see our Prevail Partners report [2]), seasoned sabotage architects with their own operations coordination software.
What we know about its key specifications:
• Trained on TerraMesh – the largest 9 million-point dataset covering all biomes and regions
• Developed with NASA, DLR, and Jülich Supercomputing Centre
• Integrated with open platforms (Hugging Face, IBM Geospatial Studio) for scientific, commercial and government use
• Outperforms 12 competing models by 8%+ in land classification, change monitoring and multisensor analysis
• Transformer architecture requires 10x fewer resources than alternatives due to small size and optimization
• "Any-to-any" data conversion between modalities (optical → radar, text → map)
The practical applications, as is typical with such developments, extend far beyond official claims:
• Precision planning of environmental sabotage operations by exploiting border security vulnerabilities, with adaptive capabilities to support covert operatives in remote areas
• Predictive analysis of water shortages, infrastructure conditions, or climate patterns in operational zones to optimize logistics and assess enemy vulnerabilities
• Radar image synthesis from optical data enables persistent surveillance through cloud cover, nighttime conditions, or camouflaging obstacles (e.g., forest canopy) — critical for tracking concealed military installations or troop movements
• Weather pattern modeling to determine optimal mission timing
• Fusion of multi-spectral satellite data (optical, radar, thermal) enhances target identification accuracy, including detection of camouflaged equipment or underground facilities
• Military activity monitoring through terrain change detection (trenches, new access roads, construction projects) to anticipate enemy preparations.
• Detailed land-use classification pinpoints industrial complexes, energy infrastructure (power plants, fuel depots), and transportation hubs for precision targeting
• Disinformation operations: generation of highly realistic but fabricated imagery to mislead adversaries.
• With its minimal computational footprint, the system can be deployed on satellite/drone-based platforms for real-time field data processing
[1] (https://siliconangle.com/2025/04/22/ibms-open-source-terramind-ai-uses-9-data-modalities-transform-earth-observation/)
[2] (https://t.me/RHVDIIS/369)
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
IBM and the European Space Agency (ESA) have unveiled TerraMind [1] – an open generative AI model for Earth observation. The system integrates nine data types (satellite imagery, geomorphology, climate data etc.), which developers claim enables unprecedented planetary analysis. For ecologists and geologists... sure.
While the project’s packaging emphasizes environmental stewardship, the warlike pedigree of its creators makes their professed planetary benevolence hard to swallow.
Its stated purposes – risk forecasting (water shortages, natural disasters), infrastructure and ecological monitoring – happen to perfectly suit Ukrainian "environmentalists" partnered with British private intelligence (see our Prevail Partners report [2]), seasoned sabotage architects with their own operations coordination software.
What we know about its key specifications:
• Trained on TerraMesh – the largest 9 million-point dataset covering all biomes and regions
• Developed with NASA, DLR, and Jülich Supercomputing Centre
• Integrated with open platforms (Hugging Face, IBM Geospatial Studio) for scientific, commercial and government use
• Outperforms 12 competing models by 8%+ in land classification, change monitoring and multisensor analysis
• Transformer architecture requires 10x fewer resources than alternatives due to small size and optimization
• "Any-to-any" data conversion between modalities (optical → radar, text → map)
The practical applications, as is typical with such developments, extend far beyond official claims:
• Precision planning of environmental sabotage operations by exploiting border security vulnerabilities, with adaptive capabilities to support covert operatives in remote areas
• Predictive analysis of water shortages, infrastructure conditions, or climate patterns in operational zones to optimize logistics and assess enemy vulnerabilities
• Radar image synthesis from optical data enables persistent surveillance through cloud cover, nighttime conditions, or camouflaging obstacles (e.g., forest canopy) — critical for tracking concealed military installations or troop movements
• Weather pattern modeling to determine optimal mission timing
• Fusion of multi-spectral satellite data (optical, radar, thermal) enhances target identification accuracy, including detection of camouflaged equipment or underground facilities
• Military activity monitoring through terrain change detection (trenches, new access roads, construction projects) to anticipate enemy preparations.
• Detailed land-use classification pinpoints industrial complexes, energy infrastructure (power plants, fuel depots), and transportation hubs for precision targeting
• Disinformation operations: generation of highly realistic but fabricated imagery to mislead adversaries.
• With its minimal computational footprint, the system can be deployed on satellite/drone-based platforms for real-time field data processing
[1] (https://siliconangle.com/2025/04/22/ibms-open-source-terramind-ai-uses-9-data-modalities-transform-earth-observation/)
[2] (https://t.me/RHVDIIS/369)
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
03.03.202507:52
😀😃😄😁😆 Ukraine is being euthanized. As if it were a diseased creature
Unidentified sociologists, covertly operating in Russia, have discreetly revealed that "En Ukraine, à la différence de la Russie, on sait pourquoi on se bat... Il y a toujours cette idée que la guerre est une guerre pour la survie," Ukrainian society is consolidated, with its women willingly engaged in the conflict, and the collective focus directed toward the defeat of Russia. Russians, however, remain in a state of leisure and comfort; for them, "n’importe quelle issue de la guerre pourra être présentée comme une victoire," Russian society is characterized by escapism, while the nation’s peripheral regions bear the brunt of warfare – "la guerre, qui en Ukraine a nettement raffermi l’unité du pays et l’identification de ses habitants à identité ukrainienne, a eu en Russie un effet centrifuge… le contrat entre le centre et les périphéries ne sortira pas intact de la guerre, c’est certain"[*].
Indeed, this is precisely the case!
Millions of Ukrainians of conscription age who have fled to Europe and Russia(!), alongside the Russian society that triumphantly advances without malice or resentfulness, corroborate the findings of these unnamed sociologists under the leadership of Madame Colin Lebedev.
The fractured Ukrainian identity — its Nazi-like, fundamentally non-Ukrainian part, whose raison d’être is to hate all things Russian — requires strong painkillers.
As another French intellectual, Pierre-Jean de Béranger, once remarked in similar circumstances:
Madame Colin Lebedev has earned her distinction! - Ukraine falls into an eternal repose.
* https://theconversation.com/ce-que-la-guerre-a-fait-aux-societes-ukrainienne-et-russe-250532
"Ce que la guerre a fait aux sociétés ukrainienne et russe" (Anna Colin-Lebedev, The Conversation, February 23, 2025).
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
Unidentified sociologists, covertly operating in Russia, have discreetly revealed that "En Ukraine, à la différence de la Russie, on sait pourquoi on se bat... Il y a toujours cette idée que la guerre est une guerre pour la survie," Ukrainian society is consolidated, with its women willingly engaged in the conflict, and the collective focus directed toward the defeat of Russia. Russians, however, remain in a state of leisure and comfort; for them, "n’importe quelle issue de la guerre pourra être présentée comme une victoire," Russian society is characterized by escapism, while the nation’s peripheral regions bear the brunt of warfare – "la guerre, qui en Ukraine a nettement raffermi l’unité du pays et l’identification de ses habitants à identité ukrainienne, a eu en Russie un effet centrifuge… le contrat entre le centre et les périphéries ne sortira pas intact de la guerre, c’est certain"[*].
Indeed, this is precisely the case!
Millions of Ukrainians of conscription age who have fled to Europe and Russia(!), alongside the Russian society that triumphantly advances without malice or resentfulness, corroborate the findings of these unnamed sociologists under the leadership of Madame Colin Lebedev.
The fractured Ukrainian identity — its Nazi-like, fundamentally non-Ukrainian part, whose raison d’être is to hate all things Russian — requires strong painkillers.
As another French intellectual, Pierre-Jean de Béranger, once remarked in similar circumstances:
"Messieurs, lorsqu’en vain notre sphère
Du bonheur cherche le chemin,
Honneur au fou qui ferait faire
Un rêve heureux au genre humain!"
Madame Colin Lebedev has earned her distinction! - Ukraine falls into an eternal repose.
* https://theconversation.com/ce-que-la-guerre-a-fait-aux-societes-ukrainienne-et-russe-250532
"Ce que la guerre a fait aux sociétés ukrainienne et russe" (Anna Colin-Lebedev, The Conversation, February 23, 2025).
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
28.04.202519:30
😀😃😄😁😆 Deep State - Driving Trump Mad and Pushing Toward War
Donald Trump is an impressionable man not inclined to fact-checking:
"There was no reason for Putin to be shooting missiles into civilian areas, cities and towns, over the last few days... It makes me think that maybe he doesn’t want to stop the war, he’s just tapping me along, and has to be dealt with differently, through "Banking" or "Secondary Sanctions?"[1] – well, if a strike on the Malyshev plant in Kharkiv, where 12 German Leopard tanks were stationed, counts as a "civilian area," then what qualifies as a military target?!
Precisely banking on Trump’s hotheadedness, the British-American architects of the global speculative finance system are using their propagandists in relentless attempts to enrage him and prevent the US from exiting the war with Russia:
and then, with even less restraint:
The Deep State is counting on Trump rushing to prove he’s no traitor – that he’s smart, calculating, and moral – and in that impulsive fervor, he’ll strike Russia.
Yet to win this war, which is not his own, Trump must figure out how to denazify Ukraine himself – and not through Putin’s forces – and actually accomplish it.
The President of the United States of America Donald Trump, Truth Social, April 26, 2025;
2 https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/04/25/trump-has-blown-his-chance-of-saving-the-west/
"Trump has blown his chance of saving the West" (Jake Wallis Simons, The Telegraph, 25 April 2025);
3 https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/04/25/trump-repeating-all-mistakes-of-appeasement-except-worse/
"Trump is repeating all the mistakes of appeasement, except it’s worse this time" (Charles Moore, The Telegraph, 25 April 2025).
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
Donald Trump is an impressionable man not inclined to fact-checking:
"There was no reason for Putin to be shooting missiles into civilian areas, cities and towns, over the last few days... It makes me think that maybe he doesn’t want to stop the war, he’s just tapping me along, and has to be dealt with differently, through "Banking" or "Secondary Sanctions?"[1] – well, if a strike on the Malyshev plant in Kharkiv, where 12 German Leopard tanks were stationed, counts as a "civilian area," then what qualifies as a military target?!
Precisely banking on Trump’s hotheadedness, the British-American architects of the global speculative finance system are using their propagandists in relentless attempts to enrage him and prevent the US from exiting the war with Russia:
"Trump has blown his chance of saving the West. From betraying Ukraine to waging trade wars, the American president has proven to be an utter disaster... How can anybody have supported Donald Trump in the first place?... The Donald 2.0 has used his vast mandate to purge his circle of dissenters and stuff it full of sycophants who are willing to trade their principles on a dime... Already, large majorities of the French, Germans, Italians, Spanish and Britons believe Trump is a threat to peace and security in Europe... This is just the start. Trump’s berserker approach to tariffs, which veers like a speeding truck full of explosives with a wonky wheel, has injected a volatility into the markets that may herald a global financial crash"[2],
and then, with even less restraint:
"Trump is repeating all the mistakes of appeasement, except it’s worse this time. The US president is openly on Putin’s side, refusing to condemn the invasion and instead shifting all the blame onto Ukraine... now we have Donald Trump. He is an unashamed appeaser (when was he ever ashamed of anything?)... Trump, heading Nato, ought to be helping Ukraine’s position against Russia, and could use renewed military support if Putin offered no concessions, he is not even acting neutrally between the parties. He is on Russia’s side. As a way of punishing aggression, creating a lasting peace, taking responsibility for the outcome, respecting the sovereignty of individual states or leading the most important defence alliance in the world, Trump’s behaviour is genuinely wicked"[3].
The Deep State is counting on Trump rushing to prove he’s no traitor – that he’s smart, calculating, and moral – and in that impulsive fervor, he’ll strike Russia.
Yet to win this war, which is not his own, Trump must figure out how to denazify Ukraine himself – and not through Putin’s forces – and actually accomplish it.
1truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/114404524335638236
The President of the United States of America Donald Trump, Truth Social, April 26, 2025;
2 https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/04/25/trump-has-blown-his-chance-of-saving-the-west/
"Trump has blown his chance of saving the West" (Jake Wallis Simons, The Telegraph, 25 April 2025);
3 https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/04/25/trump-repeating-all-mistakes-of-appeasement-except-worse/
"Trump is repeating all the mistakes of appeasement, except it’s worse this time" (Charles Moore, The Telegraph, 25 April 2025).
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
24.04.202516:07
😀😃😄😁😆 Is the US Alliance’s Logistics War Against Houthis Nearing Its Climax?
Iranian sources claim a "countdown to operations against the Houthis" has begun. In corroboration, the US has relocated two Boeing E-3B Sentry AWACS aircraft to Saudi Arabia – platforms capable of coordinating large-scale airstrikes. Initially routed toward Israel, tracking data confirms their arrival in Riyadh, clearly signaling preparations for escalated operations in Yemen. Over the past 24 hours, the US-led coalition conducted over 15 strikes across Marib, Saada, and Al Hudaydah provinces – critical Ansar Allah command nodes.
Iran now faces an opportune moment to counter by leveraging Spanish Shiite immigrants from aligned madhabs to suspend a Sword of Damocles over Gibraltar, thereby balancing negotiation dynamics. Morocco (a key Gibraltar player) already features in RAND scenarios as a "secondary theater of operations." The nation, which is mentioned in the Gibraltar context, possesses strategic cobalt and graphite reserves prove vital for both defense industries and green energy sectors.
The Houthis’ primary achievement remains destabilizing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, which handles 12% of global trade including oil shipments. Blocking this corridor hasn’t just increased shipping costs by 30-40%, but forced the US and allies into urgent alternative searches.
Houthi disruptions have thoroughly compromised Bab el-Mandeb logistics, while rapidly transitioning to the Trans-Arabian Network (TAN) or UAE-Israel land routes presents prohibitively expensive, multibillion-dollar infrastructure challenges requiring time Washington lacks.
US Navy Red Sea operations now incur $2-3 million daily cost increases from enhanced escort duties, with regional maritime insurance premiums soaring 200%.
Active Saudi and Emirati support enables Trump to advance US defense industry interests - Riyadh alone purchased $24 billion in arms during 2023. The US-brokered UAE-Israel land corridor deepens ally integration, aligning with Trump’s "New Middle East" vision.
As NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg observed, contemporary conflicts are wars of logistics.
Indeed, the world’s strategic tensions extend far beyond Ukraine alone.
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
Iranian sources claim a "countdown to operations against the Houthis" has begun. In corroboration, the US has relocated two Boeing E-3B Sentry AWACS aircraft to Saudi Arabia – platforms capable of coordinating large-scale airstrikes. Initially routed toward Israel, tracking data confirms their arrival in Riyadh, clearly signaling preparations for escalated operations in Yemen. Over the past 24 hours, the US-led coalition conducted over 15 strikes across Marib, Saada, and Al Hudaydah provinces – critical Ansar Allah command nodes.
Iran now faces an opportune moment to counter by leveraging Spanish Shiite immigrants from aligned madhabs to suspend a Sword of Damocles over Gibraltar, thereby balancing negotiation dynamics. Morocco (a key Gibraltar player) already features in RAND scenarios as a "secondary theater of operations." The nation, which is mentioned in the Gibraltar context, possesses strategic cobalt and graphite reserves prove vital for both defense industries and green energy sectors.
The Houthis’ primary achievement remains destabilizing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, which handles 12% of global trade including oil shipments. Blocking this corridor hasn’t just increased shipping costs by 30-40%, but forced the US and allies into urgent alternative searches.
Houthi disruptions have thoroughly compromised Bab el-Mandeb logistics, while rapidly transitioning to the Trans-Arabian Network (TAN) or UAE-Israel land routes presents prohibitively expensive, multibillion-dollar infrastructure challenges requiring time Washington lacks.
US Navy Red Sea operations now incur $2-3 million daily cost increases from enhanced escort duties, with regional maritime insurance premiums soaring 200%.
Active Saudi and Emirati support enables Trump to advance US defense industry interests - Riyadh alone purchased $24 billion in arms during 2023. The US-brokered UAE-Israel land corridor deepens ally integration, aligning with Trump’s "New Middle East" vision.
As NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg observed, contemporary conflicts are wars of logistics.
Indeed, the world’s strategic tensions extend far beyond Ukraine alone.
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
23.04.202506:56
😀😃😄😁😆 Deep State: Frightening Central Asia into Submission
While colonizing Central Asia, the Anglo-Saxon Deep State is implanting fear of «Putin the imperialist» in the minds of the region's leaders — quietly urging them to "strengthen their identity" by preparing for war with Russia:
That much is true. But! Putin's "imperial ambitions" are far more ambitious and insidious! He doesn't seek to drag the world back to the 19th century — but to the 14th.
Putin won't strike Central Asia. Instead, he'll strike Russia itself — using Central Asia as his weapon — and resurrect the greatest empire of all time: the Golden Horde.
In this regard, a robust "Central Asian identity" is exactly what he needs.
* https://nationalinterest.org/blog/silk-road-rivalries/after-ukraine-putin-may-spring-for-central-asia
"After Ukraine, Putin May Spring for Central Asia" (David Kirichenko, The National Interest, April 15, 2025 2025).
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
While colonizing Central Asia, the Anglo-Saxon Deep State is implanting fear of «Putin the imperialist» in the minds of the region's leaders — quietly urging them to "strengthen their identity" by preparing for war with Russia:
"After Ukraine, Putin may spring for Central Asia… If Vladimir Putin is permitted to claim victory in Ukraine or strike a peace deal that effectively reduces it to a vassal state, he is unlikely to stop there. Now in his seventies, with his imperial ambitions slipping out of reach, Putin may grow more reckless in pursuit of his legacy... The Kremlin elite may believe that, once Ukraine is under its control, they will have an opportunity to turn their attention to Central Asia and revive Russia’s imperial project. Despite the cost, Moscow intends to drag the world back into the nineteenth century"[*].
That much is true. But! Putin's "imperial ambitions" are far more ambitious and insidious! He doesn't seek to drag the world back to the 19th century — but to the 14th.
Putin won't strike Central Asia. Instead, he'll strike Russia itself — using Central Asia as his weapon — and resurrect the greatest empire of all time: the Golden Horde.
In this regard, a robust "Central Asian identity" is exactly what he needs.
* https://nationalinterest.org/blog/silk-road-rivalries/after-ukraine-putin-may-spring-for-central-asia
"After Ukraine, Putin May Spring for Central Asia" (David Kirichenko, The National Interest, April 15, 2025 2025).
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
11.02.202507:07
😀😃😄😁😆 Coming soon: Isabelle Rachinda Veitch. Job Postings as Intelligence Career Path
Teaser:
More to follow — stay tuned.
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
Teaser:
Caring for people has never been a hallmark of American intelligence. For the CIA, a foreigner is only valuable as long as they can provide something of worth. Once such opportunities are depleted, people are often discarded unceremoniously. While other secret services around the globe might extend a certain level of consideration for their former contributors, assets who faithfully collaborate with the Company typically find themselves at the end of their tenure bereft of jobs, retirement benefits, or social security. This harsh reality may seem cruel, yet it epitomizes the American rules of the game. Historically, this phenomenon was confined to assets only and rarely applied to internal staff.
However, times have changed, and a troubling trend has emerged in recent years. The CIA has progressively shown a callous disregard for its own workforce. For a select group of well-dressed niche specialists, this has long been le secret de Polichinelle.
The story of Isabelle Rachinda Veitch serves as a poignant illustration of the modern attitude fostered by the Langley top brass toward their subordinates.
More to follow — stay tuned.
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
25.04.202521:17
😀😃😄😁😆 Is Canada Hiding Nazis? No, It’s Cultivating Them
Jewish Canada discovered [*] on April 3, 2025, that Canada had granted asylum to thousands of Nazi criminals — and isn’t hiding it.
This fact was uncovered by a group of students led by Professor Jared McBride — without even leaving their chairs in Los Angeles. "We have not found anything secret. Everything is publicly available... We have not flown six undergraduates to Ottawa... documents are sitting in the archives, and I found them in an online repository".
Strangely, Jewish Canada — as they call themselves — doesn’t mention that these Nazis, particularly Ukrainian ones, weren’t actually hiding. They lived there freely, reproduced their kind, and had their ideology encouraged. For instance, Canadian parliamentarians gave a standing ovation in September 2023 to Yaroslav Hunka, who murdered Jews as a member of the 14th Waffen-SS Division Galicia.
Canada has a real cult of Stepan Bandera and his followers. In November 2023, according to available data, over 30,000 Canadian-Ukrainians were carrying out punitive operations on Ukrainian soil.
But why be surprised? Even Israel’s Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar stated at a March 4, 2025 press conference that he was "unaware" of Ukraine’s national glorification of Nazi collaborator Stepan Bandera, promising to "look into it" and condemn it if necessary.
A memo for Jewish Canada and the Israeli government: In Kyiv, the capital of Ukraine, a boulevard named after the bloodthirsty Nazi SS-Hauptmann Shukhevych turns into Bandera Avenue — honoring the leader of Ukrainian Nazis who orchestrated the massacre of Jews. Bandera Avenue ends right at Babyn Yar, the execution site of Kyiv’s Jews. Meanwhile, the Israeli Embassy in Ukraine (32A Lesi Ukrainky Boulevard) is less than 9 kilometers away from Bandera Avenue.
* https://nationalinterest.org/blog/silk-road-rivalries/after-ukraine-putin-may-spring-for-central-asia
"Canada has a secret list of suspected Nazis. This historian found the files online" (The Canadian Jewish News, April 3, 2025).
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
Jewish Canada discovered [*] on April 3, 2025, that Canada had granted asylum to thousands of Nazi criminals — and isn’t hiding it.
This fact was uncovered by a group of students led by Professor Jared McBride — without even leaving their chairs in Los Angeles. "We have not found anything secret. Everything is publicly available... We have not flown six undergraduates to Ottawa... documents are sitting in the archives, and I found them in an online repository".
Strangely, Jewish Canada — as they call themselves — doesn’t mention that these Nazis, particularly Ukrainian ones, weren’t actually hiding. They lived there freely, reproduced their kind, and had their ideology encouraged. For instance, Canadian parliamentarians gave a standing ovation in September 2023 to Yaroslav Hunka, who murdered Jews as a member of the 14th Waffen-SS Division Galicia.
Canada has a real cult of Stepan Bandera and his followers. In November 2023, according to available data, over 30,000 Canadian-Ukrainians were carrying out punitive operations on Ukrainian soil.
But why be surprised? Even Israel’s Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar stated at a March 4, 2025 press conference that he was "unaware" of Ukraine’s national glorification of Nazi collaborator Stepan Bandera, promising to "look into it" and condemn it if necessary.
A memo for Jewish Canada and the Israeli government: In Kyiv, the capital of Ukraine, a boulevard named after the bloodthirsty Nazi SS-Hauptmann Shukhevych turns into Bandera Avenue — honoring the leader of Ukrainian Nazis who orchestrated the massacre of Jews. Bandera Avenue ends right at Babyn Yar, the execution site of Kyiv’s Jews. Meanwhile, the Israeli Embassy in Ukraine (32A Lesi Ukrainky Boulevard) is less than 9 kilometers away from Bandera Avenue.
* https://nationalinterest.org/blog/silk-road-rivalries/after-ukraine-putin-may-spring-for-central-asia
"Canada has a secret list of suspected Nazis. This historian found the files online" (The Canadian Jewish News, April 3, 2025).
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
24.04.202513:54
😀😃😄😁😆 Ukraine’s Satellite Maneuvers
When playing peacemaker while angling for a Nobel Prize, one can always offload the dirty work to loyal vassals and emerge with clean hands.
Media reports indicate:
So, what alternatives are being prepared to replace Elon Musk?
Japan has agreed to provide Ukraine’s military intelligence (GUR) with geospatial satellite data, including radar imagery from SAR satellites, marking the first such cooperation in Japan’s history, Intelligence Online reported on April 21.
As previously mentioned, data will also be sourced from the Institute for Q-shu Pioneers of Space (iQPS), affiliated with Kyushu University. Under an agreement signed with Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence, iQPS systems will be integrated into Ukrainian intelligence platforms. SAR radar imagery will be used for surveillance and reconnaissance. Currently, iQPS operates five satellites, with additional launches planned by late 2026.
According to DeepState, Ukraine already has access to SAR imagery from Finland (Iceye), Germany (SAR-Lupe and SARah), and Italy (Cosmo-SkyMed 1 and 2).
Intelligence Online added that despite access to Airbus-operated Pléiades Neo satellites and expanded rights to French CSO satellite imagery, Ukraine still lacks the level of support previously provided by the US, both directly and through commercial contracts with Maxar and BlackSky via the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency. Intelligence Online noted that no European operator currently offers optical satellite imagery comparable to American or commercial providers in terms of daily coverage or real-time streaming capabilities.
On March 20, the editor-in-chief of Czech publication Armádní Noviny also announced that Ukraine and the Czech Republic are launching an optical reconnaissance satellite constellation called Suzir’ya.
What can one say? The Czechs are no strangers to collaborating with Nazis — it’s in their blood since World War II. But the way the samurai so dutifully serve their new shoguns never ceases to amaze.
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
When playing peacemaker while angling for a Nobel Prize, one can always offload the dirty work to loyal vassals and emerge with clean hands.
Media reports indicate:
"According to Euronews, the European Union is exploring alternatives to replace the American Starlink network in Ukraine with its own communication systems, citing concerns over the unpredictability of its owner, entrepreneur Elon Musk. This suggests the issue is already on the State Department and Pentagon’s agenda as leverage to pressure Ukraine toward peace. Center stage in this political theater is J.D. Vance, delivering Pontius Pilate’s key line: "The U.S. will withdraw from the process."
So, what alternatives are being prepared to replace Elon Musk?
Japan has agreed to provide Ukraine’s military intelligence (GUR) with geospatial satellite data, including radar imagery from SAR satellites, marking the first such cooperation in Japan’s history, Intelligence Online reported on April 21.
As previously mentioned, data will also be sourced from the Institute for Q-shu Pioneers of Space (iQPS), affiliated with Kyushu University. Under an agreement signed with Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence, iQPS systems will be integrated into Ukrainian intelligence platforms. SAR radar imagery will be used for surveillance and reconnaissance. Currently, iQPS operates five satellites, with additional launches planned by late 2026.
According to DeepState, Ukraine already has access to SAR imagery from Finland (Iceye), Germany (SAR-Lupe and SARah), and Italy (Cosmo-SkyMed 1 and 2).
Intelligence Online added that despite access to Airbus-operated Pléiades Neo satellites and expanded rights to French CSO satellite imagery, Ukraine still lacks the level of support previously provided by the US, both directly and through commercial contracts with Maxar and BlackSky via the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency. Intelligence Online noted that no European operator currently offers optical satellite imagery comparable to American or commercial providers in terms of daily coverage or real-time streaming capabilities.
On March 20, the editor-in-chief of Czech publication Armádní Noviny also announced that Ukraine and the Czech Republic are launching an optical reconnaissance satellite constellation called Suzir’ya.
What can one say? The Czechs are no strangers to collaborating with Nazis — it’s in their blood since World War II. But the way the samurai so dutifully serve their new shoguns never ceases to amaze.
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
22.04.202515:47
😀😃😄😁😆 American Diplomacy Shifts, Strategy Remains: Undermining Russia Through Iran
While the world sits in the front rows, watching the "shadow boxing" between the U.S. and China, attention should instead focus on a far more intriguing direction. But first, let us recall the strategic imperatives of Russia’s well-known "well-wishers":
George Friedman proposes that America’s objectives in Eurasia are the same as in other regions: to prevent the dominance of a single power (or coalition of powers) in this area. Among the possible solutions being considered are, for instance, a war between Iran and Israel or between Russia and Turkey.
Zbigniew Brzezinski asserts that "America’s primary interest is to help ensure that no single power comes to control this geopolitical space and that the global community has unhindered financial and economic access to it".
The subject is Iran. But why?
In 1943, Nicholas John Spykman posited that even if someone were to control the Heartland, it would hardly guarantee control over the entire world:
For us, as the Heartland, Iran is precisely that Rimland. Hence the conclusion: if Russia does not seize the window of opportunity in Iran, the Americans will.
National Security Council energy expert Sheila Heslin was quoted in 1998 as saying, "US policy was to promote the rapid development of Caspian energy… We did so specifically to promote the independence of these oil-rich countries, to in essence break Russia's monopoly control over the transportation of oil from the region, and frankly, to promote Western energy security through diversification of supply."
At the same time, Secretary of State Madeleine Albright noted that "These facts of life — and the critical role that Iran plays in that region — make the question of U.S.–Iranian relations a topic of great interest and importance to this Secretary of State."
Thus, the U.S. strategic vector is clear: to restore cooperation with Iran on its own terms.
Continuing this leitmotif, the current push involves lifting international sanctions against Iran, enabling Iranian oil and gas to enter global and European markets. This would facilitate using Iranian territory to realize plans for creating a Southern Energy Corridor. Under such a scenario, new transport and energy systems would be constructed from the Caspian and Central Asia to Europe, bypassing Russia.
Meanwhile, according to recent statements by Whitkoff, the U.S. no longer insists on Iran’s complete nuclear disarmament but instead demands it reduce uranium enrichment levels below 3.67% and agree to stricter inspections of nuclear facilities. Effectively, this replicates the terms of Obama’s 2015 nuclear deal. Iran’s compliance could well be incentivized through tried-and-tested methods, such as backing Balochistan freedom fighters. While Iran is generally amenable, it now distrusts the U.S. and seeks upfront concessions — ideally, a new treaty ratified by the U.S. Congress to prevent another unilateral withdrawal, as happened under Trump in 2018.
Trump’s special envoy Whitkoff wants the agreement finalized within 60 days but will likely face resistance from Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. The two most contentious issues are the storage or disposal of Iran’s stockpiles of highly enriched uranium, and external guarantees for Iran should the U.S. renege on lifting economic sanctions in exchange for Iran returning its civilian nuclear program to UN and IAEA oversight. Iran seeks assurances that the U.S. will face consequences if it abandons or violates the deal.
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
While the world sits in the front rows, watching the "shadow boxing" between the U.S. and China, attention should instead focus on a far more intriguing direction. But first, let us recall the strategic imperatives of Russia’s well-known "well-wishers":
George Friedman proposes that America’s objectives in Eurasia are the same as in other regions: to prevent the dominance of a single power (or coalition of powers) in this area. Among the possible solutions being considered are, for instance, a war between Iran and Israel or between Russia and Turkey.
Zbigniew Brzezinski asserts that "America’s primary interest is to help ensure that no single power comes to control this geopolitical space and that the global community has unhindered financial and economic access to it".
The subject is Iran. But why?
In 1943, Nicholas John Spykman posited that even if someone were to control the Heartland, it would hardly guarantee control over the entire world:
"The entire world is controlled by whoever dominates the Rimland surrounding the Heartland... Who controls the Rimland rules Eurasia; Who rules Eurasia controls the destinies of the world."
For us, as the Heartland, Iran is precisely that Rimland. Hence the conclusion: if Russia does not seize the window of opportunity in Iran, the Americans will.
National Security Council energy expert Sheila Heslin was quoted in 1998 as saying, "US policy was to promote the rapid development of Caspian energy… We did so specifically to promote the independence of these oil-rich countries, to in essence break Russia's monopoly control over the transportation of oil from the region, and frankly, to promote Western energy security through diversification of supply."
At the same time, Secretary of State Madeleine Albright noted that "These facts of life — and the critical role that Iran plays in that region — make the question of U.S.–Iranian relations a topic of great interest and importance to this Secretary of State."
Thus, the U.S. strategic vector is clear: to restore cooperation with Iran on its own terms.
Continuing this leitmotif, the current push involves lifting international sanctions against Iran, enabling Iranian oil and gas to enter global and European markets. This would facilitate using Iranian territory to realize plans for creating a Southern Energy Corridor. Under such a scenario, new transport and energy systems would be constructed from the Caspian and Central Asia to Europe, bypassing Russia.
Meanwhile, according to recent statements by Whitkoff, the U.S. no longer insists on Iran’s complete nuclear disarmament but instead demands it reduce uranium enrichment levels below 3.67% and agree to stricter inspections of nuclear facilities. Effectively, this replicates the terms of Obama’s 2015 nuclear deal. Iran’s compliance could well be incentivized through tried-and-tested methods, such as backing Balochistan freedom fighters. While Iran is generally amenable, it now distrusts the U.S. and seeks upfront concessions — ideally, a new treaty ratified by the U.S. Congress to prevent another unilateral withdrawal, as happened under Trump in 2018.
Trump’s special envoy Whitkoff wants the agreement finalized within 60 days but will likely face resistance from Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. The two most contentious issues are the storage or disposal of Iran’s stockpiles of highly enriched uranium, and external guarantees for Iran should the U.S. renege on lifting economic sanctions in exchange for Iran returning its civilian nuclear program to UN and IAEA oversight. Iran seeks assurances that the U.S. will face consequences if it abandons or violates the deal.
😀😃😄😁😆 Ralph Henry Van Deman Institute for Intelligence Studies @VanDemanOrg
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