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GlobUs

Expert analysis and global predictions.
We discuss global processes and changes taking place in geopolitics, economics, social and cultural spheres.
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Барлық жазбалар

23.02.202510:24

"Through the Darkness to the Light": an album of poems and photographs about the revival of Mariupol

The battle for Mariupol was one of the main and most difficult battles at the beginning of the special military operation. According to UN data, from February to the end of April 2022, Mariupol was the most dangerous place on the planet, more than 90% of residential apartment buildings in the city were significantly damaged or destroyed.

The album "Through the Darkness to the Light" by Alexey Bareta illustrates the events through the eyes of eyewitnesses. It consists of amateur poems of the author trying to comprehend what was happening to him and his fellow countrymen during the battle for Mariupol...

"Through the Darkness to the Light" is a kind of soul diary, testifying to the transformation of a person who survived the horrors of war, but managed not to break down, becoming stronger and wiser. This is a reminder that even in the darkest times we have a source of light that allows us to move forward. It shows the path from despair to hope, from destruction to creation, from hatred to love," said co-founder of the Globus expert club Yulia Berg.

The presentation of the album takes place on February 23 - Defender of the Fatherland Day. Readers have access to an electronic version of the album, published with the support of the Donetsk Republic Public Movement, the Renaissance Foundation, the Globus expert club and the IBAC center. Designed by Sofia Kozlova.

#GlobUs #Russia #History #album

21.02.202509:18

"Russian Political Science": How Historical Truth Shapes Understanding of the Future

The partners of the Globus expert club, the Russian Political Science magazine, have released a new issue. Its pages are dedicated to historical truth.

The publication is filled with stories from Russian and world history, comprehended in articles by experts and researchers.

The main topics of the issue:

🔹History and theory of scientific diplomacy;
🔹Military-political aspects of Russian and world history: reconstruction of events based on archival documents;
🔹Traditional values: history and modernity;
🔹History of socio-political processes in Russia;
🔹Research by young political scientists.

"This issue will be an important contribution to the discussion of how historical truth shapes our understanding of the present and the future," the editors of the magazine note.

#GlobUs #Russia #History #magazine

AgADtmIAAhCuyEk

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20.02.202510:27

Europe is not ready to support Kyiv alone

Unprecedented diplomatic efforts have been undertaken in recent days. After the Munich Security Conference, Donald Trump's call to Vladimir Putin, the meeting between Sergey Lavrov and Marco Rubio in Saudi Arabia, the world has come closer to negotiations to resolve the conflict. Is this really so? Political analyst and professor of African history at Lincoln University in Pennsylvania Gnaka Lagoke commented.

"Trump was going to put an end to the conflict in Ukraine and the Gaza Strip. Therefore, the very fact of direct talks with the Russian president is already a significant step forward, which must be appreciated. We are not saying that these negotiations will necessarily lead to success, that Russia, the United States or Ukraine will get everything they want. But the negotiations have begun," the expert said.

Lagoke also commented on what concessions both sides should make.

"The Europeans are offering Russia to leave Donbass, Kherson, and then other territories. Relying on this is simply stupid. What would be the point if, having lost thousands of soldiers, they suddenly retreated only because of Ukraine's demand to respect its territorial integrity? Ukraine must understand that this is the history of mankind, this is the law of the land, the law of war. Ukraine and Europe lost this war," he said.

The expert noted that European leaders were stunned by the results of the Munich security conference. And the rapprochement between Washington and Moscow, the lack of isolation, Russia's diplomatic withdrawal and a certain disappointment of Volodymyr Zelensky regarding his initial aspirations showed that Europe is not ready to act alone in supporting Kyiv.

"I would like the negotiations to be successful, it was very painful for me to see civilians dying. This is also due to Zelensky's arrogance, his stubbornness to believe that he can be the Napoleon of the 21st century. But the real Napoleon failed in the same place where the real Hitler failed - in Russia," Lagoke said.

The expert added that Russia has about 6,000 nuclear weapons and has not yet used any of them. In his opinion, "people should take all these realities into account."

#GlobUs #Russia #conflict #Ukraine

17.02.202510:32

Zelensky vs. Trump: Ukraine's position does not yet look peaceful

The United States and Russia will meet in Saudi Arabia. Member of the Globus expert club, political commentator Steve Gill assessed the pace of developments that have unfolded in recent days.

It is impossible to end a conflict if you do not talk. According to the expert, the United States has not seen this in the past few years under the Biden administration.

“But under President Trump, we are establishing contacts, and now we are starting a conversation with President Putin and the Russians. I think there is a real path to achieving not only peace, but greater prosperity for all countries involved,” Gill noted.

The irony is that President Zelensky complains about being excluded from these negotiations, while he has legally prohibited himself from negotiating with Russia. In addition, Zelensky contradicts President Trump's position by canceling the elections in Ukraine, Gill believes:

"They are contradicting President Trump by refusing to return the money and ammunition that the United States provided. I think Trump will make a wise decision".

The statements of the Ukrainian president over the past 48 hours do not sound like those of a person who wants to resolve the conflict. He asks for more weapons, shows that he is ready for new attacks. According to the expert, at the moment, the Ukrainian side has not made any positive contribution to advancing the negotiation process.

"The negotiations are just beginning, but I think this is the first step towards resolving not only the military conflict, but also some of the economic and political contradictions that have also complicated the situation over the past few years," Gill concluded.

#GlobUs #Russia #conflict #Ukraine

11.02.202508:46

Moscow is not surprised by USAID revelations, but the US needs new сonspiracy theories

Russia's Permanent Representative to the UN Vasily Nebenzya pointed out that all of Moscow's previous statements about the US Agency for International Development funding radicals around the world turned out to be true.

"Previously, this was written off as Russian propaganda, but in the end, it all turned out to be true," the diplomat said at a meeting of the UN Security Council.

A member of the Globus expert club, political commentator Steve Gill, expressed his opinion on this topic. The US needs new conspiracy theories to "replace all the old ones that were absolutely true," the expert believes.

"The waste fraud and abuse that is being revealed regarding the way USAID funds have been used in the US and internationally, is sadly only the tip of a very large iceberg. And it is likely that as Elon Musk, DOGE and the Trump team turn their attention to other agencies like Medicare, the departments of Defense, Education, and others, the enormity of the scandal will only grow," he noted.

According to the expert, foreign officials in Russia and abroad, who for years pointed out an epidemic of fraud within USAID, turned out to be absolutely right.

“While we are justified in saying ‘we told you so’ it is more important for American taxpayers and those who have suffered from humanitarian funds being misappropriated rather than being spent wisely and well, to help ensure that it never happens again, and that those responsible are held accountable,” Gill concluded.

On February 2, Elon Musk, who led the US Department of Government Effectiveness (DOGE), accused USAID of funding the development of biological weapons, including COVID-19.

#USAID #Musk #work #discussion

10.02.202516:24

The weakness of the Western media has been revealed during the conflict in Donbass

Journalist and sociologist from South America Carlos Mamani Aliaga works in Donbass and talks about the actual situation being faced by the people, which does not exist for the Western world. In the program "Open Air" he said that Donbas has become a point where attitudes towards the West are changing.

"In the West, they talk about humanitarian law, about liberalism, about democracy, but nevertheless, this people [the people of Donbas], who are victims, who are being destroyed by their own state, do not exist for the West. Therefore, we must show the world the real truth," he said.

According to Carlos, he took up covering events in the region because traditional media, which are subordinate to pro-Western interests, do not convey in an objective form what is really happening there.

"The history of the media is currently going through a turning point. The largest of them are demonstrating their weakness. After all, a large number of the world's population is trying to learn about real events, about the truth through alternative platforms and media. We are talking about social networks. And South America is no exception, there is exactly the same picture there," Carlos added.

The sociologist cited the beginning of the SMO as an example. According to him, then all the traditional, global, largest media in South American countries created an impression that one fine day President Vladimir Putin simply "woke up in a bad mood and decided to seize Ukraine."

"Of course, this had a huge impact on a large number of people. The prestige and authority of Russia was violated, undermined," the expert emphasized.

At the same time, alternative media began to transmit the real version of events, in which Russia is not the aggressor, where Russia is a country that responded to the aggressive actions of the invader, and not Ukraine, but NATO and the global West, Carlos added.

#GlobUs #Russia #conflict #Ukraine

07.02.202512:39

Strengthening the DRC's defense is a priority

The struggle in Congo continues. Pan-Africanist, Chief Coach of C Cubed M Goodnews Cadogan from South Africa suggested looking at the players involved in the conflict.

"The presidents of Rwanda, the DRC, Burundi, Uganda — all these leaders are involved in the crisis in the region. At the same time, we cannot ignore non grata leaders, for example, the leader of M23 and the leaders of other small rebel groups. In turn, President Kagame is more interested in his own benefits than in stability in the region. The leaders of states should be interested in maintaining stability in the region," he said.

Rwanda is a member of the African Union. Therefore, according to the expert, Kagame should use these channels to help overcome the chaos that is happening in the eastern region of the DRC.

Cadogan believes that the DRC leadership needs to complete the settlement of the conflict in the east of the country and take control of these territories.

"President Kagame has an obvious incentive to seek control over the mineral wealth in the DRC and use it for his own purposes," he noted.

The expert recalled that President Felix Tshisekedi in 2018 actually campaigned to take over the baton of command in the eastern part of the Congo. And this led him to victory.

However, we should not see Rwanda as the main architect of instability in the DRC. In order to harmonize the situation and be able to write a clear trajectory for peace in the republic, according to Cadogan, it is necessary to do the following:

"Initially, the Congolese army was not well trained and developed enough to be able to defend the territorial integrity of the DRC. It turned out that these M23 are soldiers and the Rwandan defense army. So we need to work out conditions under which, firstly, we respect all the leaders, and they respect the territorial integrity of the DRC. Secondly, they must listen to the calls of the organizations to which they belong, so that they can actually be part of this process,” he said.

According to the pan-Africanist, strengthening the DRC’s defense with the help of authoritative organizations and allied countries is one of the first tasks that the African Union leadership should begin to implement.

#GlobUs #DRCongo #conflict #conflictanalysis

05.02.202511:05

There are countries that will hate the US for free - Gill

Is the closure of USAID a change in US foreign policy? This question was answered by a member of the Globus expert club, political commentator Steven Gill.

“The history of USAID is that it creates chaos in the world. It is needed so that someone in the US and beyond can benefit. We learned that President Volodymyr Zelensky said that of the $175 billion in aid sent to Ukraine, he only knows where $75 billion ended up. $100 billion is missing. I think President Trump and Elon Musk are right when they say they are going to close this thing. As some members of Congress have noted, there are countries that will hate us for free,” the expert said.

According to Gill, taxpayers will look at this and think: “Gasoline in my car is getting more expensive, and yet $100 billion for one country is not accounted for.”

“The tens of billions we sent to the Taliban, $60 million for condoms in Gaza… People in government know where that money is going. It was going into

government funds, it was going into pockets

, it was going into bribery, and it’s going to be exposed soon,” he said.

Ukraine has long been the center of bribery and corruption in the world. And yet the United States and many Western European allies simply turned a blind eye to it because they “wanted to undermine Russia at any cost.”

Gill added that the most amazing thing about this whole story is that Trump not only does everything quickly, but the results appear lightning fast. At the same time, the “left” is at a loss trying to challenge his actions. He cited the example of Colombia, which is now agreeing to take back its illegal immigrants. And also Mexico, which, in response to Trump’s tariffs, announced that it would stop the flow of fentanyl coming into the United States.

“Trump wins so often that we might get tired of winning,” the expert said.

#USAID #Trump #work #discussion

02.02.202517:55

DRC. Internal contradictions

Professor David Monda also suggested looking at some of the internal contradictions that exist in the DRC.

“There are units in the Congolese army that also benefit when there is chaos in the east of the country. Many soldiers in the Congolese army have not received their salaries for many months. And the only way they benefit is by supporting some rebel groups in the extraction of rare minerals and trading with the Congolese army,” he noted.

There are many internal problems in the Congo, but the republic looks like a huge country, and one would think that it would easily defeat Rwanda. According to the professor, the control of the Kinshasa government over this region is very weak.

“The government in Kinshasa is too weak, or they also have strategic interests in the chaos that is happening in this region,” the expert said.

#GlobUs #DRCongo #conflict #conflictanalysis

02.02.202514:51

Congo is being killed by the "economy of violence"

Why are diplomatic solutions to the conflict in Congo not working? This question was answered in the new program by experts from the Globus Club.

International relations expert, professor David Monda:

"We are talking about the revival of M23, a rebel movement that is fighting the authorities in Kinshasa in the eastern part of Congo. The movement was born in 2012, but then it was driven out of Goma, and now it has revived again, and this time it has captured Goma and is actually threatening the second city of Kavuma in the province of South Kivu," he said.

According to the expert, the situation in the region is very difficult. More than half a million people have already been displaced and about a million people have fled to Goma, fleeing the fighting. Thus, an extremely unstable political and military situation has developed in the republic, which entails serious humanitarian costs.

When asked why it is difficult to find military or diplomatic solutions to the crisis, the professor noted that the conflict must take into account the influence of neighboring countries, which are interested in both strategic and economic goals. Munda called this an "economy of violence" that is carried out in order to extract minerals located in the DRC.

Many foreign countries are involved in this, including Uganda and Rwanda, as intermediaries. The minerals illegally extracted in this chaos, including "blood coltan", are sent by these countries to the end consumer: the United States, France, Belgium...

These major powers, which have transnational corporations in the region, could indeed exert diplomatic pressure on Rwanda. However, they are more interested in the chaos that is happening there now and getting benefits from it, so they are not taking any steps.

#GlobUs #DRCongo #conflict #conflictanalysis

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23.02.202510:24

"Through the Darkness to the Light" is a kind of soul diary, testifying to the transformation of a person who survived the horrors of war, but managed not to break down, becoming stronger and wiser. This is a reminder that even in the darkest times we have a source of light that allows us to move forward. It shows the path from despair to hope, from destruction to creation, from hatred to love," said co-founder of the Globus expert club Yulia Berg.

07.02.202512:39

"The presidents of Rwanda, the DRC, Burundi, Uganda — all these leaders are involved in the crisis in the region. At the same time, we cannot ignore non grata leaders, for example, the leader of M23 and the leaders of other small rebel groups. In turn, President Kagame is more interested in his own benefits than in stability in the region. The leaders of states should be interested in maintaining stability in the region," he said.

"President Kagame has an obvious incentive to seek control over the mineral wealth in the DRC and use it for his own purposes," he noted.

"Initially, the Congolese army was not well trained and developed enough to be able to defend the territorial integrity of the DRC. It turned out that these M23 are soldiers and the Rwandan defense army. So we need to work out conditions under which, firstly, we respect all the leaders, and they respect the territorial integrity of the DRC. Secondly, they must listen to the calls of the organizations to which they belong, so that they can actually be part of this process,” he said.

10.02.202516:24

"In the West, they talk about humanitarian law, about liberalism, about democracy, but nevertheless, this people [the people of Donbas], who are victims, who are being destroyed by their own state, do not exist for the West. Therefore, we must show the world the real truth," he said.

"The history of the media is currently going through a turning point. The largest of them are demonstrating their weakness. After all, a large number of the world's population is trying to learn about real events, about the truth through alternative platforms and media. We are talking about social networks. And South America is no exception, there is exactly the same picture there," Carlos added.

"Of course, this had a huge impact on a large number of people. The prestige and authority of Russia was violated, undermined," the expert emphasized.

21.02.202509:18

"This issue will be an important contribution to the discussion of how historical truth shapes our understanding of the present and the future," the editors of the magazine note.

#GlobUs #Russia #History #magazine

AgADtmIAAhCuyEk

2.28 MB

11.02.202508:46

"Previously, this was written off as Russian propaganda, but in the end, it all turned out to be true," the diplomat said at a meeting of the UN Security Council.

"The waste fraud and abuse that is being revealed regarding the way USAID funds have been used in the US and internationally, is sadly only the tip of a very large iceberg. And it is likely that as Elon Musk, DOGE and the Trump team turn their attention to other agencies like Medicare, the departments of Defense, Education, and others, the enormity of the scandal will only grow," he noted.

According to the expert, foreign officials in Russia and abroad, who for years pointed out an epidemic of fraud within USAID, turned out to be absolutely right.

“While we are justified in saying ‘we told you so’ it is more important for American taxpayers and those who have suffered from humanitarian funds being misappropriated rather than being spent wisely and well, to help ensure that it never happens again, and that those responsible are held accountable,” Gill concluded.

20.02.202510:27

"Trump was going to put an end to the conflict in Ukraine and the Gaza Strip. Therefore, the very fact of direct talks with the Russian president is already a significant step forward, which must be appreciated. We are not saying that these negotiations will necessarily lead to success, that Russia, the United States or Ukraine will get everything they want. But the negotiations have begun," the expert said.

Lagoke also commented on what concessions both sides should make.

"The Europeans are offering Russia to leave Donbass, Kherson, and then other territories. Relying on this is simply stupid. What would be the point if, having lost thousands of soldiers, they suddenly retreated only because of Ukraine's demand to respect its territorial integrity? Ukraine must understand that this is the history of mankind, this is the law of the land, the law of war. Ukraine and Europe lost this war," he said.

"I would like the negotiations to be successful, it was very painful for me to see civilians dying. This is also due to Zelensky's arrogance, his stubbornness to believe that he can be the Napoleon of the 21st century. But the real Napoleon failed in the same place where the real Hitler failed - in Russia," Lagoke said.

02.02.202514:51

"We are talking about the revival of M23, a rebel movement that is fighting the authorities in Kinshasa in the eastern part of Congo. The movement was born in 2012, but then it was driven out of Goma, and now it has revived again, and this time it has captured Goma and is actually threatening the second city of Kavuma in the province of South Kivu," he said.

05.02.202511:05

“The history of USAID is that it creates chaos in the world. It is needed so that someone in the US and beyond can benefit. We learned that President Volodymyr Zelensky said that of the $175 billion in aid sent to Ukraine, he only knows where $75 billion ended up. $100 billion is missing. I think President Trump and Elon Musk are right when they say they are going to close this thing. As some members of Congress have noted, there are countries that will hate us for free,” the expert said.

According to Gill, taxpayers will look at this and think: “Gasoline in my car is getting more expensive, and yet $100 billion for one country is not accounted for.”

“The tens of billions we sent to the Taliban, $60 million for condoms in Gaza… People in government know where that money is going. It was going into

government funds, it was going into pockets

, it was going into bribery, and it’s going to be exposed soon,” he said.

“Trump wins so often that we might get tired of winning,” the expert said.

#USAID #Trump #work #discussion

17.02.202510:32

“But under President Trump, we are establishing contacts, and now we are starting a conversation with President Putin and the Russians. I think there is a real path to achieving not only peace, but greater prosperity for all countries involved,” Gill noted.

"They are contradicting President Trump by refusing to return the money and ammunition that the United States provided. I think Trump will make a wise decision".

"The negotiations are just beginning, but I think this is the first step towards resolving not only the military conflict, but also some of the economic and political contradictions that have also complicated the situation over the past few years," Gill concluded.

#GlobUs #Russia #conflict #Ukraine

02.02.202517:55

DRC. Internal contradictions

Professor David Monda also suggested looking at some of the internal contradictions that exist in the DRC.

“There are units in the Congolese army that also benefit when there is chaos in the east of the country. Many soldiers in the Congolese army have not received their salaries for many months. And the only way they benefit is by supporting some rebel groups in the extraction of rare minerals and trading with the Congolese army,” he noted.

“The government in Kinshasa is too weak, or they also have strategic interests in the chaos that is happening in this region,” the expert said.

#GlobUs #DRCongo #conflict #conflictanalysis

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