Let me bottom line you on this tariff dance. Trump has just effectively committed the biggest rug pull ever on China.
Every other country on the spinning, very round rock is going to spend the next 90 days hooking up with American companies who are currently shitting down their legs wondering how they will survive getting their bits and pieces from China.
Meanwhile, the Chinese yuan, their currency, is going to plummet in value as China is forced to divest of US treasuries to try to stay afloat. China has a lot of mouths to feed and a burgeoning middle class that has gotten used to steady work and steady pay. The people are going to be vely angly at the CCP for taking the bait.
By the time the dust settles there will be new supply lines established and all of those other countries will have raised their hands for low recipricol tariffs to support their new trade deals. China is going to be left begging for the business back, but once a new supply line is established those who abandoned Chinese supply will be reluctant to make a second change for a while.
What works once will be assumed to work again, which will leave China with the executioner's axe hanging permanently over their neck.
China will likely settle back into its groove, but not without a significant reduction in industrial influence and an increase in internal turmoil. Maybe they will even stop stealing our designs.
Chess not checkers
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